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The prior distribution on parameters of a sampling distribution is the usual starting point for Bayesian uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we present a different perspective which focuses on missing observations as the source of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Stephen G. Walker

With appropriately chosen sampling probabilities, sampling-based random projection can be used to implement large-scale statistical methods, substantially reducing computational cost while maintaining low statistical error. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Yifan Chen , Yun Yang

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models widely employed to understand dependencies in high dimensional data, and even to facilitate causal discovery. Learning the underlying network structure, which is encoded as a directed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 Jack Kuipers , Polina Suter , Giusi Moffa

Surrogate models have become ubiquitous in science and engineering for their capability of emulating expensive computer codes, necessary to model and investigate complex phenomena. Bayesian emulators based on Gaussian processes adequately…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-02 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

Inference in popular nonparametric Bayesian models typically relies on sampling or other approximations. This paper presents a general methodology for constructing novel tractable nonparametric Bayesian methods by applying the kernel trick…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-08-15 Ferenc Huszár , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Recently, many methods to interpret and visualize deep neural network predictions have been proposed and significant progress has been made. However, a more class-discriminative and visually pleasing explanation is required. Thus, this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Dasom Seo , Kanghan Oh , Il-Seok Oh

Sampling-based algorithms are classical approaches to perform Bayesian inference in inverse problems. They provide estimators with the associated credibility intervals to quantify the uncertainty on the estimators. Although these methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Pierre-Antoine Thouvenin , Audrey Repetti , Pierre Chainais

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

Gaussian boson sampling (GBS), a computational problem conjectured to be hard to simulate on a classical machine, has been at the forefront of recent years' experimental and theoretical efforts to demonstrate quantum advantage. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-05 Gabriele Bressanini , Benoit Seron , Leonardo Novo , Nicolas J. Cerf , M. S. Kim

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

We develop a weighted Bayesian Bootstrap (WBB) for machine learning and statistics. WBB provides uncertainty quantification by sampling from a high dimensional posterior distribution. WBB is computationally fast and scalable using only…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-06 Michael Newton , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio , Timothé Krauth

Euclidean diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generative modeling across diverse domains, and they have been extended to manifold cases in recent advances. Instead of explicitly utilizing the structure of special manifolds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Zichen Liu , Wei Zhang , Tiejun Li

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

We introduce a deep generative framework for high-dimensional Bayesian inference that enables efficient posterior sampling. As telescopes and simulations rapidly expand the volume and resolution of astrophysical data, fast simulation-based…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-06 Hadi Sotoudeh , Pablo Lemos , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

A number of distributions that arise in statistical applications can be expressed in the form of a weighted density: the product of a base density and a nonnegative weight function. Generating variates from such a distribution may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Andrew M. Raim , James A. Livsey , Kyle M. Irimata

Target encoding is an effective encoding technique of categorical variables and is often used in machine learning systems for processing tabular data sets with mixed numeric and categorical variables. Recently en enhanced version of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Michael Larionov

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson
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