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Background: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding remains a major challenge, causing delays in care and increased operational strain. Hospital management often reacts to congestion after it occurs. Machine learning predictive modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Orhun Vural , Bunyamin Ozaydin , Khalid Y. Aram , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Abdulaziz Ahmed

Emergency departments (EDs) often use a shared-queue setup in which physicians self-assign cases from a pool of triaged patients. We conduct a multi-method study to examine this self-assignment behavior and its effects on system…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-26 Brett Hathaway , Evgeny Kagan , John Jones

A network epidemic model is studied. The underlying social network has two different types of group structures, households and workplaces, such that each individual belongs to exactly one household and one workplace. The random network is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

Epidemics are a serious public health threat, and the resources for mitigating their effects are typically limited. Decision-makers face challenges in forecasting the supply and demand for these resources as prior information about the…

Study Objective: To analyze the factors influencing Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding by examining the impacts of operational, environmental, and external variables, including weather conditions and football games. Methods: This study…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Abdulaziz Ahmed , Khalid Y Aram , Mohammed Alzeen , Orhun Vural , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Bunyamin Ozaydin

Urgent care clinics and emergency departments around the world periodically suffer from extended wait times beyond patient expectations due to inadequate staffing levels. These delays have been linked with adverse clinical outcomes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Paula Maddigan , Teo Susnjak

Under the Dynamic Resource Allocation (DRA) model, an administrator has the mission to allocate dynamically a limited budget of resources to the nodes of a network in order to reduce a diffusion process (DP) (e.g. an epidemic). The standard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-24 Mathilde Fekom , Nicolas Vayatis , Argyris Kalogeratos

An important challenge confronting healthcare is the effective management of access to primary care. Robust appointment scheduling policies/templates can help strike an effective balance between the lead-time to an appointment (a.k.a.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Sina Faridimehr , Saravanan Venkatachalam , Ratna Babu Chinnam

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Mobility-on-demand systems are transforming the way we think about the transportation of people and goods. Most research effort has been placed on scalability issues for systems with a large number of agents and simple pick-up/drop-off…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Kaier Liang , Cristian-Ioan Vasile

This paper presents a novel approach to epidemic surveillance, leveraging the power of Artificial Intelligence and Large Language Models (LLMs) for effective interpretation of unstructured big data sources, like the popular ProMED and WHO…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sergio Consoli , Peter Markov , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis , Lorenzo Bertolini , Antonio Puertas Gallardo , Mario Ceresa

In the university timetabling problem, sometimes additions or cancellations of course sections occur shortly before the beginning of the academic term, necessitating last-minute teaching staffing changes. We present a decision-making…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Jakob Kotas , Peter Pham , Sam Koellmann

The performance of Emergency Departments (EDs) is of great importance for any health care system, as they serve as the entry point for many patients. However, among other factors, the variability of patient acuity levels and corresponding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Nikolaus Furian , Michael O'Sullivan , Cameron Walker , Melanie Reuter-Oppermann

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

The early detection of anomalous events in time series data is essential in many domains of application. In this paper we deal with critical health events, which represent a significant cause of mortality in intensive care units of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

The conventional design of real-time approaches depends heavily on the normal performance of systems and it often becomes incapacitated in dealing with catastrophic scenarios effectively. There are several investigations carried out to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-07-22 A. Christy Persya , T. R. Gopalakrishnan Nair

The paper presents an algorithm for syndromic surveillance of an epidemic outbreak formulated in the context of stochastic nonlinear filtering. The dynamics of the epidemic is modeled using a generalized compartmental epidemiological model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-24 Alex Skvortsov , Branko Ristic

A common issue for companies is that the volume of product orders may at times exceed the production capacity. We formally introduce two novel problems dealing with the question which orders to discard or postpone in order to meet certain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Erich Teppan

We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

We portray the evolution of the Covid-19 epidemic during the crisis of March-April 2020 in the Paris area, by analyzing the medical emergency calls received by the EMS of the four central departments of this area (Centre 15 of SAMU 75, 92,…