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The great performances of deep learning are undeniable, with impressive results over a wide range of tasks. However, the output confidence of these models is usually not well-calibrated, which can be an issue for applications where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Hugo Siqueira Gomes , Wilson Leão , Christian Gagné

The prediction reliability of neural networks is important in many applications. Specifically, in safety-critical domains, such as cancer prediction or autonomous driving, a reliable confidence of model's prediction is critical for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Byeongmoon Ji , Hyemin Jung , Jihyeun Yoon , Kyungyul Kim , Younghak Shin

Research interests in the robustness of deep neural networks against domain shifts have been rapidly increasing in recent years. Most existing works, however, focus on improving the accuracy of the model, not the calibration performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Wonjeong Choi , Jungwuk Park , Dong-Jun Han , Younghyun Park , Jaekyun Moon

Precise confidence estimation in deep learning is vital for high-stakes fields like medical imaging, where overconfident misclassifications can have serious consequences. This work evaluates the effectiveness of Temperature Scaling (TS), a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ankur Chanda , Kushan Choudhury , Shubhrodeep Roy , Shubhajit Biswas , Somenath Kuiry

In many classification applications, the prediction of a deep neural network (DNN) based classifier needs to be accompanied by some confidence indication. Two popular approaches for that aim are: 1) Calibration: modifies the classifier's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Lahav Dabah , Tom Tirer

The effectiveness of large language models (LLMs) is not only measured by their ability to generate accurate outputs but also by their calibration-how well their confidence scores reflect the probability of their outputs being correct.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Johnathan Xie , Annie S. Chen , Yoonho Lee , Eric Mitchell , Chelsea Finn

It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Knowledge Distillation (KD) aims at transferring the knowledge of a well-performed neural network (the {\it teacher}) to a weaker one (the {\it student}). A peculiar phenomenon is that a more accurate model doesn't necessarily teach better,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Xin-Chun Li , Wen-Shu Fan , Shaoming Song , Yinchuan Li , Bingshuai Li , Yunfeng Shao , De-Chuan Zhan

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration and introduce a novel calibration method, Parametrized Temperature Scaling (PTS). Standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, which can be transformed into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Christian Tomani , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Neural networks trained on distilled data often produce over-confident output and require correction by calibration methods. Existing calibration methods such as temperature scaling and mixup work well for networks trained on original…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Dongyao Zhu , Bowen Lei , Jie Zhang , Yanbo Fang , Ruqi Zhang , Yiqun Xie , Dongkuan Xu

In this paper, we study the post-hoc calibration of modern neural networks, a problem that has drawn a lot of attention in recent years. Many calibration methods of varying complexity have been proposed for the task, but there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Sergio A. Balanya , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Ramos

Continual Learning (CL) is recently gaining increasing attention for its ability to enable a single model to learn incrementally from a sequence of new classes. In this scenario, it is important to keep consistent predictive performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Giuseppe Serra , Florian Buettner

Recent works demonstrate that early layers in a neural network contain useful information for prediction. Inspired by this, we show that extending temperature scaling across all layers improves both calibration and accuracy. We call this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Amr Khalifa , Michael C. Mozer , Hanie Sedghi , Behnam Neyshabur , Ibrahim Alabdulmohsin

Neural network calibration is an essential task in deep learning to ensure consistency between the confidence of model prediction and the true correctness likelihood. In this paper, we propose a new post-processing calibration method called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Yung-Chen Tang , Pin-Yu Chen , Tsung-Yi Ho

Thomson scattering (TS) diagnostics provide reliable, minimally perturbative measurements of fundamental plasma parameters, such as electron density ($n_e$) and electron temperature ($T_e$). Deep neural networks can provide accurate…

Despite impressive accuracy, deep neural networks are often miscalibrated and tend to overly confident predictions. Recent techniques like temperature scaling (TS) and label smoothing (LS) show effectiveness in obtaining a well-calibrated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Mobarakol Islam , Lalithkumar Seenivasan , Hongliang Ren , Ben Glocker

The uncertainty estimation is critical in real-world decision making applications, especially when distributional shift between the training and test data are prevalent. Many calibration methods in the literature have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Hugo Siqueira Gomes , Christian Gagne

Despite their incredible performance, it is well reported that deep neural networks tend to be overoptimistic about their prediction confidence. Finding effective and efficient calibration methods for neural networks is therefore an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Graph Neural Networks deliver strong classification results but often suffer from poor calibration performance, leading to overconfidence or underconfidence. This is particularly problematic in high stakes applications where accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Dingyi Zhuang , Chonghe Jiang , Yunhan Zheng , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

The calibration for deep neural networks is currently receiving widespread attention and research. Miscalibration usually leads to overconfidence of the model. While, under the condition of long-tailed distribution of data, the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jialin Guo , Zhenyu Wu , Zhiqiang Zhan , Yang Ji
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