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Data uncertainty is commonly observed in the images for face recognition (FR). However, deep learning algorithms often make predictions with high confidence even for uncertain or irrelevant inputs. Intuitively, FR algorithms can benefit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Lei Shang , Mouxiao Huang , Wu Shi , Yuchen Liu , Yang Liu , Fei Wang , Baigui Sun , Xuansong Xie , Yu Qiao

Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jishnu Mukhoti , Viveka Kulharia , Amartya Sanyal , Stuart Golodetz , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Confidence calibration -- the problem of predicting probability estimates representative of the true correctness likelihood -- is important for classification models in many applications. We discover that modern neural networks, unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Chuan Guo , Geoff Pleiss , Yu Sun , Kilian Q. Weinberger

Despite the impressive generalization capabilities of deep neural networks, they have been repeatedly shown to be overconfident when they are wrong. Fixing this issue is known as model calibration, and has consequently received much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

The ATLAS experiment at the Large Hadron Collider explores the use of modern neural networks for a multi-dimensional calibration of its calorimeter signal defined by clusters of topologically connected cells (topo-clusters). The Bayesian…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-02-03 ATLAS Collaboration

In human-centered intelligent building, real-time measurements of human thermal comfort play critical roles and supply feedback control signals for building heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. Due to the challenges of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Xiaogang Cheng , Bin Yang , Kaige Tan , Erik Isaksson , Liren Li , Anders Hedman , Thomas Olofsson , Haibo Li

Lots of popular calibration methods in medical images focus on classification, but there are few comparable studies on semantic segmentation. In polyp segmentation of medical images, we find most diseased area occupies only a small portion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Yudian Zhang , Chenhao Xu , Kaiye Xu , Haijiang Zhu

Scaling model parameters has become the de facto strategy for improving NLP systems, but it comes with substantial computational costs. Test-Time Scaling (TTS) offers an alternative by allocating more computation at inference: generating…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Shaomu Tan , Ryosuke Mitani , Ritvik Choudhary , Toshiyuki Sekiya

Conformal prediction is an emerging technique for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with a predefined probability. Previous works often employ temperature scaling to calibrate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Huajun Xi , Jianguo Huang , Kangdao Liu , Lei Feng , Hongxin Wei

Although deep neural networks yield high classification accuracy given sufficient training data, their predictions are typically overconfident or under-confident, i.e., the prediction confidences cannot truly reflect the accuracy. Post-hoc…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Jiexin Wang , Jiahao Chen , Bing Su

Test-time scaling (TTS) -- the dynamic allocation of compute during inference -- is a promising direction for improving reasoning in large language models (LLMs). However, a systematic comparison of well-known TTS strategies under identical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Aradhye Agarwal , Ayan Sengupta , Tanmoy Chakraborty

Ongoing developments in neural network models are continually advancing the state of the art in terms of system accuracy. However, the predicted labels should not be regarded as the only core output; also important is a well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-08 Gil Keren , Nicholas Cummins , Björn Schuller

In the upcoming years, artificial intelligence (AI) is going to transform the practice of medicine in most of its specialties. Deep learning can help achieve better and earlier problem detection, while reducing errors on diagnosis. By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Julie Payette , Sylvain G. Cloutier , Fabrice Vaussenat

Differentiable architecture search (DARTS) yields highly efficient gradient-based neural architecture search (NAS) by relaxing the discrete operation selection to optimize continuous architecture parameters that maps NAS from the discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Jiuling Zhang , Zhiming Ding

Recent advances in deep learning have significantly improved predictive accuracy. However, modern neural networks remain systematically overconfident, posing risks for deployment in safety-critical scenarios. Current post-hoc calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Haolan Guo , Linwei Tao , Haoyang Luo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Thermal errors in machine tools significantly impact machining precision and productivity. Traditional thermal error correction/compensation methods rely on measured temperature-deformation fields or on transfer functions. Most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 C. Coelho , M. Hohmann , D. Fernández , L. Penter , S. Ihlenfeldt , O. Niggemann

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are known to be vulnerable to various adversarial perturbations. To address the safety concerns arising from these vulnerabilities, adversarial training (AT) has emerged as one of the most effective paradigms for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Rui Wang , Zeming Wei , Xiyue Zhang , Meng Sun

Artificial neural networks are often overconfident, undermining trust because their predicted probabilities do not match actual accuracy. Inspired by biological sleep and the role of spontaneous replay in memory and learning, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jean Erik Delanois , Aditya Ahuja , Giri P. Krishnan , Maxim Bazhenov

Time series has wide applications in the real world and is known to be difficult to forecast. Since its statistical properties change over time, its distribution also changes temporally, which will cause severe distribution shift problem to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Yuntao Du , Jindong Wang , Wenjie Feng , Sinno Pan , Tao Qin , Renjun Xu , Chongjun Wang

Air temperature (Ta) is an essential climatological component that controls and influences various earth surface processes. In this study, we make the first attempt to employ deep learning for Ta mapping mainly based on space remote sensing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-15 Huanfeng Shen , Yun Jiang , Tongwen Li , Qing Cheng , Chao Zeng , Liangpei Zhang