Related papers: Persistence exponents via perturbation theory: AR(…

Many relevant statistical and econometric models for the analysis of longitudinal data include a latent process to account for the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in a dynamic fashion. Such a process may be continuous (typically…

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

The persistence properties of a set of random walkers obeying the A+B -> 0 reaction, with equal initial density of particles and homogeneous initial conditions, is studied using two definitions of persistence. The probability, P(t), that an…

This article deals with the asymptotic behaviour as $t\to +\infty$ of the survival function $P[T > t],$ where $T$ is the first passage time above a non negative level of a random process starting from zero. In many cases of physical…

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Consider a real Gaussian stationary process $f_\rho$, indexed on either $\mathbb{R}$ or $\mathbb{Z}$ and admitting a spectral measure $\rho$. We study $\theta_{\rho}^\ell=-\lim\limits_{T\to\infty}\frac{1}{T}…

A general asymptotic theory is given for the panel data AR(1) model with time series independent in different cross sections. The theory covers the cases of stationary process, nearly non-stationary process, unit root process, mildly…

Let $X_1, \ldots , X_n$ be mutually independent exponential random variables with distinct hazard rates $\lambda_1, \ldots , \lambda_n > 0$ and let $Y_1, \ldots, Y_n$ be a random sample from the exponential distribution with hazard rate…

Let $\Psi_n$ be a product of $n$ independent, identically distributed random matrices $M$, with the properties that $\Psi_n$ is bounded in $n$, and that $M$ has a deterministic (constant) invariant vector. Assuming that the probability of…

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Let $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ be a continuous time Markov process on some metric space $M,$ leaving invariant a closed subset $M_0 \subset M,$ called the {\em extinction set}. We give general conditions ensuring either "Stochastic persistence"…

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

We consider the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of small rank perturbations of random $N\times N$ matrices. We allow the rank of perturbation $M$ increases with $N$, and the only assumption is $M=o(N)$. In both additive and multiplicative…

Given $N\ge2$ closed subspaces $M_1,\dotsc, M_N$ of a Hilbert space $X$, let $P_k$ denote the orthogonal projection onto $M_k$, $1\le k\le N$. It is known that the sequence $(x_n)$, defined recursively by $x_0=x$ and $x_{n+1}=P_N\cdots…

The binomial, the negative binomial, the Poisson, the compound Poisson and the Erlang distribution do all admit integral representations with respect to its (continuous) parameter. We use the Margulis-Russo type formulas for Bernoulli and…

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distribution $\Pi_n$ of the $n$-th element in a sequence of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. Under a $(2+\a)$-th moment condition on the jump distributions, we…

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

We consider the perturbed Mann's iterative process \begin{equation} x_{n+1}=(1-\theta_n)x_n+\theta_n f(x_n)+r_n, \end{equation} where $f:[0,1]\rightarrow[0,1]$ is a continuous function, $\{\theta_n\}\in [0,1]$ is a given sequence, and…

This paper introduces a periodic multivariate Poisson autoregression with potentially infinite memory, with a special focus on the network setting. Using contraction techniques, we study the stability of such a process and provide upper…