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Methodologies to infer financial networks from the price series of speculative assets vary, however, they generally involve bivariate or multivariate predictive modelling to reveal causal and correlational structures within the time series…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-31 Cameron Cornell , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

As it is known in the finance risk and macroeconomics literature, risk-sharing in large portfolios may increase the probability of creation of default clusters and of systemic risk. We review recent developments on mathematical and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its dynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during 2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into pre-crash,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-10 Kundan Mukhia , Anish Rai , SR Luwang , Md Nurujjaman , Sushovan Majhi , Chittaranjan Hens

This paper shows that Bitcoin is not correlated to a general uncertainty index as measured by the Google Trends data of Castelnuovo and Tran (2017). Instead, Bitcoin is linked to a Google Trends attention measure specific for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Nektarios Aslanidis , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Óscar G. López

Granger-Geweke causality (GGC) is a powerful and popular method for identifying directed functional (`causal') connectivity in neuroscience. In a recent paper, Stokes and Purdon [1] raise several concerns about its use. They make two…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-07 Lionel Barnett , Adam B. Barrett , Anil K. Seth

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

Identifying the causal structure of systems with multiple dynamic elements is critical to several scientific disciplines. The conventional approach is to conduct statistical tests of causality, for example with Granger Causality, between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Jacek P. Dmochowski

This study investigates how media influence and educational resources shape individual engagement with cryptocurrencies. As digital assets become increasingly mainstream, social media platforms, influencers, and financial analysts play a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Fahed Quttainah

Digital currencies and cryptocurrencies have hesitantly started to penetrate the investors, and the next step will be the regulatory risk management framework. We examine the Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall properties for the major…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-31 Stavros Stavroyiannis

The recent financial crisis have generated renewed interests in fragilities of global financial networks among economists and regulatory authorities. In particular, a potential vulnerability of the financial networks is the "financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-27 Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder

Cryptocurrency network analysis consists of applying the tools and methods of social network analysis to transactional data issued from cryptocurrencies. The main difference with most online social networks is that users do not exchange…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Natkamon Tovanich , Célestin Coquidé , Rémy Cazabet

In recent years, multi-factor strategies have gained increasing popularity in the financial industry, as they allow investors to have a better understanding of the risk drivers underlying their portfolios. Moreover, such strategies promise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-12 Gabriele D'Acunto , Paolo Bajardi , Francesco Bonchi , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

Propagation of balance-sheet or cash-flow insolvency across financial institutions may be modeled as a cascade process on a network representing their mutual exposures. We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Hamed Amini , Rama Cont , Andreea Minca

The fast-growing cryptocurrency sector presents both challenges and opportunities for businesses and consumers alike. This study investigates the knowledge, expertise, and buying habits of people who shop using cryptocurrencies. Our survey…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Massimiliano Silenzi , Umut Can Cabuk , Enis Karaarslan , Omer Aydin

Blockchain and its application on cryptocurrency transactions have gathered a lot of attention and popularity since the birth of the pioneer Bitcoin in 2009. More than 1500 cryptocurrencies are currently circulated in the market. The…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Gourang Aggarwal , Vimal Patel , Gaurav Varshney , Kimberly Oostman

Uncovering the risk transmitting path within economic sectors in China is crucial for understanding the stability of the Chinese economic system, especially under the current situation of the China-US trade conflicts. In this paper, we try…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-24 Ying-Ying Shen , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Jun-Chao Ma , Gang-Jin Wang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

With the recent prevalence of darkweb/deepweb (D2web) sites specializing in the trade of exploit kits and malware, malicious actors have easy-access to a wide-range of tools that can empower their offensive capability. In this study, we…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-11-01 Mohammed Almukaynizi , Vivin Paliath , Malay Shah , Malav Shah , Paulo Shakarian

This paper performs a large-scale study of dependency chains in the web, to find that around 50% of first-party websites render content that they did not directly load. Although the majority (84.91%) of websites have short dependency chains…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Muhammad Ikram , Rahat Masood , Gareth Tyson , Mohamed Ali Kaafar , Roya Ensafi

This study identifies the key factors influencing the price movements of major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Binance Coin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Tether, using Bayesian networks (BNs). This study addresses two key challenges:…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Rasoul Amirzadeh , Asef Nazari , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Mong Shan Ee