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Cryptocurrency is a novel exploration of a form of currency that proposes a decentralized electronic payment scheme based on blockchain technology and cryptographic theory. While cryptocurrency has the security characteristics of being…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Zekai Liu , Xiaoqi Li

A simple model-free and distribution-free statistic, the functional relationship between the number of "effective" degrees of freedom and portfolio size, or N*(N), is used to discriminate between two alternative models for the correlation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-06 Graham L. Giller

We introduce the Aggregated Systemic Risk Index (ASRI), comprising four weighted sub-indices: Stablecoin Concentration Risk (30%), DeFi Liquidity Risk (25%), Contagion Risk (25%), and Regulatory Opacity Risk (20%). Using data from DeFi…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Murad Farzulla , Andrew Maksakov

Cryptocurrencies aim to replicate physical cash in the digital realm while removing centralized and trusted intermediaries. Decentralization is achieved by the blockchain, a permanent public ledger that contains a record of every…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Domokos Miklós Kelen , István András Seres

Contagion is an extremely important topic in finance. Contagion is at the core of most major financial crises, in particular the 2008 financial crisis. Although various approaches to quantifying contagion have been proposed, many of them…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Katerina Rigana , Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit , Samantha Cook

In this paper, the cross-correlations of cryptocurrency returns are analysed. The paper examines one years worth of data for 146 cryptocurrencies from the period January 1 2019 to December 31 2019. The cross-correlations of these returns…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 J. Gavin , M. Crane

This work explores the characteristics of financial contagion in networks whose links distributions approaches a power law, using a model that defines banks balance sheets from information of network connectivity. By varying the parameters…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-10 Vanessa Hoffmann de Quadros , Juan Carlos González-Avella , José Roberto Iglesias

The paper analyzes the cryptocurrency ecosystem at both the aggregate and individual levels to understand the factors that impact future volatility. The study uses high-frequency panel data from 2020 to 2022 to examine the relationship…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Alessio Brini , Jimmie Lenz

Hacks are one of the most damaging types of cryptocurrency related crime, accounting for billions of dollars in stolen funds since 2009. Professional investigators at Chainalysis have traced these stolen funds from the initial breach on an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-30 Daniel Goldsmith , Kim Grauer , Yonah Shmalo

We motivate the study of the crypto asset class with eleven empirical facts, and study the drivers of crypto asset returns through the lens of univariate factors. We argue crypto assets are a new, attractive, and independent asset class. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-27 Adam Baybutt

This paper investigates the evolving link between cryptocurrency and equity markets in the context of the recent wave of corporate Bitcoin (BTC) treasury strategies. We assemble a dataset of 39 publicly listed firms holding BTC, from their…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-21 Sabrina Aufiero , Antonio Briola , Tesfaye Salarin , Fabio Caccioli , Silvia Bartolucci , Tomaso Aste

We determine the number of statistically significant factors in a forecast model using a random matrices test. The applied forecast model is of the type of Reduced Rank Regression (RRR), in particular, we chose a flavor which can be seen as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Andrés García Medina , Graciela González-Farías

This paper investigates systemic risk transmission across stablecoin markets using Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR). Analyzing eight major stablecoins with day data coverage from 2021 to 2025, supplemented by minute-level event studies…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Wenbin Wu , Can Liu

Cryptocoins (i.e., Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin) are tradable digital assets. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption techniques guarantee the security of the transactions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-22 Matthias Raddant , Dror Y. Kenett

Granger causality can uncover the cause and effect relationships in financial networks. However, such networks can be convoluted and difficult to interpret, but the Helmholtz-Hodge-Kodaira decomposition can split them into a rotational and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-26 Tobias Wand , Oliver Kamps , Hiroshi Iyetomi

The Web is a tangled mass of interconnected services, where websites import a range of external resources from various third-party domains. However, the latter can further load resources hosted on other domains. For each website, this…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Muhammad Ikram , Rahat Masood , Gareth Tyson , Mohamed Ali Kaafar , Noha Loizon , Roya Ensafi

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer

We study the prediction of Value at Risk (VaR) for cryptocurrencies. In contrast to classic assets, returns of cryptocurrencies are often highly volatile and characterized by large fluctuations around single events. Analyzing a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-20 Rebekka Buse , Konstantin Görgen , Melanie Schienle

The Chinese stock market experienced an abrupt crash in 2015, and over one-third of its market value evaporated. Given its associations with fear and the fine resolution with respect to frequency, the illiquidity of stocks may offer a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Xiaoling Tan , Jichang Zhao