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Thermostatically Controlled Loads (TCL), e.g. air-conditioners and heaters, are by far the most wide-spread consumers of electricity. Normally the devices are calibrated to provide the so-called bang-bang control of temperature -- changing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Michael Chertkov , Vladimir Chernyak

Demand response (DR) programs aim to engage distributed demand-side resources in providing ancillary services for electric power systems. Previously, aggregated thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) have been demonstrated as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Ali Hassan , Robert Mieth , Deepjyoti Deka , Yury Dvorkin

A Markov decision process (MDP) framework is adopted to represent ensemble control of devices with cyclic energy consumption patterns, e.g., thermostatically controlled loads. Specifically we utilize and develop the class of MDP models…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Michael Chertkov , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , Deepjyoti Deka

Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

Flexibility in electric power consumption can be leveraged by Demand Response (DR) programs. The goal of this paper is to systematically capture the inherent aggregate flexibility of a population of appliances. We do so by clustering…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Mahnoosh Alizadeh , Anna Scaglione , Andrea Goldsmith , George Kesidis

We pose an engineering challenge of controlling an Ensemble of Energy Devices via coordinated, implementation-light and randomized on/off switching as a problem in Non-Equilibrium Statistical Mechanics. We show that Mean Field Control} with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-02-19 David Métivier , Michael Chertkov

With the advancement in smart grid and smart energy devices, demand response becomes one of the most economic and feasible solutions to ease the load stress of the power grids during peak hours. In this work, we propose a fully…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-07 Guanze Peng , Robert Mieth , Deepjyoti Deka , Yury Dvorkin

Calibration and uncertainty estimation are crucial topics in high-risk environments. We introduce a new diversity regularizer for classification tasks that uses out-of-distribution samples and increases the overall accuracy, calibration and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Hendrik Alexander Mehrtens , Camila González , Anirban Mukhopadhyay

The cooperative energy management of aggregated buildings has recently received a great deal of interest due to substantial potential energy savings. These gains are mainly obtained in two ways: (i) Exploiting the load shifting capabilities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Georgios Darivianakis , Angelos Georghiou , Roy S. Smith , John Lygeros

With a large-scale integration of distributed energy resources (DERs), distribution systems are expected to be capable of providing capacity support for the transmission grid. To effectively harness the collective flexibility from massive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Xin Chen , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Changhong Zhao , Na Li

Power distribution networks are increasingly hosting controllable and flexible distributed energy resources (DERs) that, when aggregated, can provide ancillary support to transmission systems. However, existing aggregation schemes often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-22 Hyeongon Park , Daniel K. Molzahn , Rahul K. Gupta

Scheduling the power exchange between a population of heterogeneous distributed energy resources and the corresponding upper-level system is an important control problem in power systems. A key challenge is the large number of (partially…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Riccardo Remo Appino , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

To mitigate global climate change, distributed energy resources (DERs), such as distributed generators, flexible loads, and energy storage systems (ESSs), have witnessed rapid growth in power distribution systems. When properly managed,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Rui Xie , Yue Chen

A major challenge to implementing residential demand response is that of aligning the objectives of many households, each of which aims to minimize its payments and maximize its comfort level, while balancing this with the objectives of an…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Sleiman Mhanna , Archie Chapman , Gregor Verbic

Ensembles of thermostatically controlled loads (TCL) provide a significant demand response reserve for the system operator to balance power grids. However, this also results in the parasitic synchronization of individual devices within the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-05 Ilia Luchnikov , David Métivier , Henni Ouerdane , Michael Chertkov

This paper is devoted to provide a theoretical underpinning for ensemble forecasting with rapid fluctuations in body forcing and in boundary conditions. Ensemble averaging principles are proved under suitable `mixing' conditions on random…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-26 Wei Wang , Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan , Guowei He

To respond to volatility and congestion in the power grid, demand response (DR) mechanisms allow for shaping the load compared to a base load profile. When tapping on a large population of heterogeneous appliances as a DR resource, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Mahnoosh Alizadeh , Anna Scaglione , Andy Applebaum , George Kesidis , Karl Levitt

Electricity peaks can be harmful to grid stability and result in additional generation costs to balance supply with demand. By developing a network of smart appliances together with a quasi-decentralized control protocol, direct load…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-01-24 Bowen Zhang , John Baillieul

One of the most promising approaches for complex technical systems analysis employs ensemble methods of classification. Ensemble methods enable to build a reliable decision rules for feature space classification in the presence of many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-01-11 Alexei Zhukov , Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Denis Sidorov , Daniil Panasetsky , Aoife Foley

Demand response (DR) programs aim to engage distributed small-scale flexible loads, such as thermostatically controllable loads (TCLs), to provide various grid support services. Linearly Solvable Markov Decision Process (LS-MDP), a variant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-22 Ali Hassan , Deepjyoti Deka , Michael Chertkov , Yury Dvorkin
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