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Heterogeneous ensembles built from the predictions of a wide variety and large number of diverse base predictors represent a potent approach to building predictive models for problems where the ideal base/individual predictor may not be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Ana Stanescu , Gaurav Pandey

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

Spatiotemporal chaotic systems are difficult to characterize in a model-free manner because of their high dimensionality, strong nonlinearity, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Coupled map lattices, as a representative class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Xiaoqi Lei , Zixiang Yan , Jian Gao , Yueheng Lan , Jinghua Xiao

Coordination of distributed energy resources (DERs) can engender flexibility necessary to improve grid reliability. Packetized Energy Management (PEM) is a method for coordinating DERs, such as thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Mohammad Hassan , Mads R. Almassalkhi

Potential of electrical loads in providing grid ancillary services is often limited due to the uncertainties associated with the load behavior. A knowledge of the expected uncertainties with a load control program would invariably yield to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Soumya Kundu , Jacob Hansen , Jianming Lian , Karan Kalsi

We analyse a one-dimensional model of hard particles, within ensembles of trajectories that are conditioned (or biased) to atypical values of the time-averaged dynamical activity. We analyse two phenomena that are associated with these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-18 Ian R. Thompson , Robert L. Jack

Flexible loads, e.g. thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs), are technically feasible to participate in demand response (DR) programs. On the other hand, there is a number of challenges that need to be resolved before it can be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-15 Michael Chertkov , Deepjyoti Deka , Yury Dvorkin

The extension of the Rayleigh-Ritz variational principle to ensemble states $\rho_{\mathbf{w}}\equiv\sum_k w_k |\Psi_k\rangle \langle\Psi_k|$ with fixed weights $w_k$ lies ultimately at the heart of several recent methodological…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-20 Lexin Ding , Cheng-Lin Hong , Christian Schilling

Starting from a master equation in a quantum Hamiltonian form and a coupling to a heat bath we derive an evolution equation for a collective hopping process under the influence of a stochastic energy landscape. There results different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michael Schulz , Steffen Trimper

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo

Ensemble learning is a methodology that integrates multiple DNN learners for improving prediction performance of individual learners. Diversity is greater when the errors of the ensemble prediction is more uniformly distributed. Greater…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Ling Liu , Wenqi Wei , Ka-Ho Chow , Margaret Loper , Emre Gursoy , Stacey Truex , Yanzhao Wu

Ensemble methods are commonly used in classification due to their remarkable performance. Achieving high accuracy in a data stream environment is a challenging task considering disruptive changes in the data distribution, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Soheil Abadifard , Sepehr Bakhshi , Sanaz Gheibuni , Fazli Can

Harmonic instability occurs frequently in the power electronic converter system. This paper leverages multi-resolution dynamic mode decomposition (MR-DMD) as a data-driven diagnostic tool for the system stability of power electronic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-16 Rui Kong , Subham Sahoo , Yongjie Liu , Frede Blaabjerg

The integration of distributed energy resources (DER) makes active distribution networks (ADNs) natural providers of flexibility services. However, the optimal operation of flexible units in ADNs is highly complex, which poses challenges…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-29 Andrey Churkin , Wangwei Kong , Jose N. Melchor Gutierrez , Eduardo A. Martínez Ceseña , Pierluigi Mancarella

Ensembles are widely used in machine learning and, usually, provide state-of-the-art performance in many prediction tasks. From the very beginning, the diversity of an ensemble has been identified as a key factor for the superior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Luis A. Ortega , Rafael Cabañas , Andrés R. Masegosa

We present a theory of ensemble diversity, explaining the nature of diversity for a wide range of supervised learning scenarios. This challenge has been referred to as the holy grail of ensemble learning, an open research issue for over 30…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Danny Wood , Tingting Mu , Andrew Webb , Henry Reeve , Mikel Luján , Gavin Brown

Ensemble learning combines several individual models to obtain a better generalization performance. In this work we present a practical method for estimating the joint power of several classifiers. It differs from existing approaches which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Simi Haber , Yonatan Wexler

A distribution system can flexibly adjust its substation-level power output by aggregating its local distributed energy resources (DERs). Due to DER and network constraints, characterizing the exact feasible power output region is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Qi Li , Jianzhe Liu , Bai Cui , Wenzhan Song , Jin Ye

As field-programmable gate arrays become prevalent in critical application domains, their power consumption is of high concern. In this paper, we present and evaluate a power monitoring scheme capable of accurately estimating the runtime…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Zhe Lin , Sharad Sinha , Wei Zhang

Sustainable energy systems require flexible elements to balance the variability of renewable energy sources. Demand response aims to adapt the demand to the variable generation, in particular by shifting the load in time. In this article,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-04 Chengyuan Han , Dirk Witthaut , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Philipp C. Böttcher