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Related papers: Spread of an infection on the zero range process

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This short paper concerns a diffusive logistic equation with the heterogeneous environment and a free boundary, which is formulated to study the spread of an invasive species, where the free boundary represents the expanding front. A…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-06-25 Mingxin Wang

We consider the fractal Sierpi\'{n}ski gasket or carpet graph in dimension $d\geq 2,$ denoted by $G$. At time $0$, we place a Poisson point process of particles onto the graph and let them perform independent simple random walks, which in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Alexander Drewitz , Gioele Gallo , Peter Gracar

We numerically investigate the geometry and transport properties of infection fronts within the spatial SIR model in two dimensions. The model incorporates short-range correlated quenched random transmission rates. Our findings reveal that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-09-18 Renzo Zagarra , Karina Laneri , Alejandro B. Kolton

A stochastic model, describing the growth of two competing infections on $\mathbb{R}^d$, is introduced. The growth is driven by outbursts in the infected region, an outburst in the type 1 (2) infected region transmitting the type 1 (2)…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström , Jonathan Bagley

Social contagion has been studied in various contexts. Many instances of social contagion can be modeled as an infection process where a specific state (adoption of product, fad, knowledge, behavior, etc.) spreads from individual to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Hiroki Sayama

An individual-based model of the infectious disease spread among the urban population is considered. A system of stochastic equations, which describes changes in quantities of four population groups, susceptible, exposed, infected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-11 Vasiliy Leonenko

We consider a dynamical process on a graph $G$, in which vertices are infected (randomly) at a rate which depends on the number of their neighbours that are already infected. This model includes bootstrap percolation and first-passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Béla Bollobás , Simon Griffiths , Robert Morris , Leonardo Rolla , Paul Smith

We consider a non-attractive three state contact process on $\mathbb Z$ and prove that there exists a regime of survival as well as a regime of extinction. In more detail, the process can be regarded as an infection process in a dynamic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Marinus Gottschau , Markus Heydenreich , Kilian Matzke , Cristina Toninelli

This study presents a method to discover an outbreak of an infectious disease in a region for which data are missing, but which is at work as a disease spreader. Node discovery for the spread of an infectious disease is defined as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-18 Yoshiharu Maeno

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

We consider subcritical branching processes with immigration which evolve under the influence of a random environment and study the tail distribution of life periods of such processes defined as the length of the time interval between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

We consider a continuous-time branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ in a random non homogeneous environment. Particles can walk on the lattice points or disappear with random intensities. The process starts with one particle at initial time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Vladimir Kutsenko , Stanislav Molchanov , Elena Yarovaya

Inspired by strict-monotonicity criteria for the time constant in first passage percolation, we investigate convex ordering of point processes in relation to the time constant in first contact percolation. In a nutshell, first contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We study a stochastic model of infection spreading on a network. At each time step a node is chosen at random, along with one of its neighbors. If the node is infected and the neighbor is susceptible, the neighbor becomes infected. How many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-19 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Jacob G. Scott , Steven H. Strogatz

This paper is concerned with a lattice dynamical system modeling the evolution of susceptible and infective individuals at discrete niches. We prove the existence of traveling waves connecting the disease-free state to non-trivial leftover…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Yan-Yu Chen , Jong-Shenq Guo , Francois Hamel

We establish two open problems from Kesten and Sidoravicius [8]. Particles are initially placed on $\Z^{d}$ with a given density and evolve as independent continuous-time random walks. Particles initially placed at the origin are declared…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Rangel Baldasso , Alexandre Stauffer

Spatio-temporal counts of infectious disease cases often contain an excess of zeros. With existing zero inflated count models applied to such data it is difficult to quantify space-time heterogeneity in the effects of disease spread between…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-19 Dirk Douwes-Schultz , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Under limited available resources, strategies for mitigating the propagation of an epidemic such as random testing and contact tracing become inefficient. Here, we propose to accurately allocate the resources by computing over time an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-07 Gabriela Bayolo Soler , Miraine Dávila Felipe , Ghislaine Gayraud

We study a version of first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ where the random passage times on the edges are replaced by contact times represented by random closed sets on $\mathbb{R}$. Similarly to the contact process without…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

The field of epidemiology has presented fascinating and relevant questions for mathematicians, primarily concerning the spread of viruses in a community. The importance of this research has greatly increased over time as its applications…