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Operational risk is the risk relative to monetary losses caused by failures of bank internal processes due to heterogeneous causes. A dynamical model including both spontaneous generation of losses and generation via interactions between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-27 Marco Bardoscia

This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

The 2023 U.S. banking crisis propagated not through direct financial linkages but through a high-frequency, information-based contagion channel. This paper moves beyond exploration analysis to test the "too-similar-to-fail" hypothesis,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S Sua , Jaime Ortiz , Jinshyang Roan , Bahram Alidaee

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

Price-mediated contagion occurs when a positive feedback loop develops following a drop in asset prices which forces banks and other financial institutions to sell their holdings. Prior studies of such events fix the level of market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Zhiyu Cao , Zachary Feinstein

This paper develops a dynamic monetary model to study the (in)stability of the fractional reserve banking system. The model shows that the fractional reserve banking system can endanger stability in that equilibrium is more prone to exhibit…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-18 Heon Lee

The European sovereign debt crisis has impaired many European banks. The distress on the European banks may transmit worldwide, and result in a large-scale knock-on default of financial institutions. This study presents a computer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-19 Yoshiharu Maeno , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima , Kenichi Amagai

We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of narrow banking in the context of stock-flow consistent models. We begin with an extension of the Goodwin-Keen model incorporating time deposits, government bills, cash, and central bank…

General Economics · Economics 2018-10-16 Matheus R Grasselli , Alexander Lipton

Interbank lending and borrowing occur when financial institutions seek to settle and refinance their mutual positions over time and circumstances. This interactive process involves money creation at the aggregate level. Coordination…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Feng Zhou

We study multiple defaults where the global market information is modelled as progressive enlargement of filtrations. We shall provide a general pricing formula by establishing a relationship between the enlarged filtration and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-17 Ying Jiao

We study the impact of contagion in a network of firms facing credit risk. We describe an intensity based model where the homogeneity assumption is broken by introducing a random environment that makes it possible to take into account the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paolo Dai Pra , Marco Tolotti

We consider a banking network represented by a system of stochastic differential equations coupled by their drift. We assume a core-periphery structure, and that the banks in the core hold a bubbly asset. The banks in the periphery have not…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

We study a McKean--Vlasov equation arising from a mean-field model of a particle system with positive feedback. As particles hit a barrier they cause the other particles to jump in the direction of the barrier and this feedback mechanism…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Ben Hambly , Sean Ledger , Andreas Sojmark

We study the limiting behaviour of the empirical measure of a system of diffusions interacting through their ranks when the number of diffusions tends to infinity. We prove that the limiting dynamics is given by a McKean-Vlasov evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-30 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Motivated by an application to empirical Bayes learning in high-dimensional regression, we study a class of Langevin diffusions in a system with random disorder, where the drift coefficient is driven by a parameter that continuously adapts…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Zhou Fan , Justin Ko , Bruno Loureiro , Yue M. Lu , Yandi Shen

Diffusion in a linear potential in the presence of position-dependent killing is used to mimic a default process. Different assumptions regarding transport coefficients, initial conditions, and elasticity of the killing measure lead to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Yuri A. Katz

We study large deviations and rare default clustering events in a dynamic large heterogeneous portfolio of interconnected components. Defaults come as Poisson events and the default intensities of the different components in the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

The scope of financial systemic risk research encompasses a wide range of interbank channels and effects, including asset correlation shocks, default contagion, illiquidity contagion, and asset fire sales. This paper introduces a financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Thomas R. Hurd , Davide Cellai , Sergey Melnik , Quentin Shao

We model the default contagion process in a large heterogeneous financial network under the interventions of a regulator (a central bank) with only partial information which is a more realistic setting than most current literature. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-06 Yang Xu
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