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In work with a variety of co-authors, Staver and Levin have argued that savanna and forest coexist as alternative stable states with discontinuous changes in density of trees at the boundary. Here we formulate a nonhomogeneous spatial model…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Rick Durrett , Ruibo Ma

In this paper we afford a quantitative analysis of the sustainability of current world population growth in relation to the parallel deforestation process adopting a statistical point of view. We consider a simplified model based on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-23 Mauro Bologna , Gerardo Aquino

In tropical regions, fires propagate readily in grasslands but typically consume only edges of forest patches. Thus forest patches grow due to tree propagation and shrink by fires in surrounding grasslands. The interplay between these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-15 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Adam F. A. Pellegrini , Uttam Bhat , Sidney Redner , Stephen W. Pacala , Andrew M. Berdahl

Mediterranean rangelands should be conceived as socio-ecological landscapes (SEL) because of the close interaction and coevolution between socio-economic and natural systems. A significant threat to these Mediterranean rangelands is related…

Because most natural phenomena exhibit dependence at multiple scales like locations of earthquakes or forest fire occurrences, spatio-temporal single-scale point process models are unrealistic in many applications. This motivates us to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-18 Morteza Raeisi , Florent Bonneu , Edith Gabriel

In this paper, we present the description of a simplified model of the dynamic of a mono-specific even-aged forest. The model studied is a tree-growth model based on a system of two ordinary differential equations concerning the tree basal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Patrice Loisel , Jean-François Dhôte

We consider a stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model with contact tracing on random trees and on the configuration model. On a rooted tree, where initially all individuals are susceptible apart from the root which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-25 Augustine Okolie , Johannes Müller

The scarcity of water characterising drylands forces vegetation to adopt appropriate survival strategies. Some of these generate water-vegetation feedback mechanisms that can lead to spatial self-organisation of vegetation, as it has been…

Biological Physics · Physics 2013-08-30 John Realpe-Gomez , Mara Baudena , Tobias Galla , Alan J. McKane , Max Rietkerk

Stochastic diffusion is the noisy and uncertain process through which dynamics like epidemics, or agents like animal species, disperse over a larger area. Understanding these processes is becoming increasingly important as we attempt to…

Wildfire forecasting has been one of the most critical tasks that humanities want to thrive. It plays a vital role in protecting human life. Wildfire prediction, on the other hand, is difficult because of its stochastic and chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Thai-Nam Hoang , Sang Truong , Chris Schmidt

A dynamical model of an ecological community is analyzed within a "mean-field approximation" in which one of the species interacts with the combination of all of the other species in the community. Within this approximation the model may be…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 Alan McKane , David Alonso , Ricard V. Sole

We investigate a forest-fire model with the density of empty sites as control parameter. The model exhibits three phases, separated by one first-order phase transition and one 'mixed' phase transition which shows critical behavior on only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Siegfried Clar , Klaus Schenk , Franz Schwabl

We investigate the thermodynamics as well as the population dynamics of ecosystems based on a stochastic approach in which the number of individuals of the several species of the ecosystem are treated as stochastic variables. The several…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-31 Tânia Tomè , Mário J. de Oliveira

This study investigates the impacts of grazing duration and intensity on vegetation population dynamics in semi-arid ecosystems characterized by seasonal succession. A novel piecewise periodic model is proposed, dividing the annual cycle…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Junhong Gan , Guohong Zhang , Xiaoli Wang

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

Deterministic models of vegetation often summarize, at a macroscopic scale, a multitude of intrinsically random events occurring at a microscopic scale. We bridge the gap between these scales by demonstrating convergence to a mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

A feature common to many models of vegetation pattern formation in semi-arid ecosystems is a sequence of qualitatively different patterned states, "gaps -> labyrinth -> spots", that occurs as a parameter representing precipitation…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2014-10-10 Karna Gowda , Hermann Riecke , Mary Silber

There have been many studies to examine whether one trait is correlated with another trait across a group of present-day species (for example, do species with larger brains tend to have longer gestation times. Since the introduction of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-07 Albert Ch. Soewongsono , Barbara R. Holland , Malgorzata M. O'Reilly

Many systems in life sciences have been modeled by reaction-diffusion equations. However, under some circumstances, these biological systems may experience instantaneous and periodic perturbations (e.g. harvest, birth, release, fire events,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-28 J. Banasiak , Y. Dumont , I. V. Yatat Djeumen

Individuals within any species exhibit differences in size, developmental state, or spatial location. These differences coupled with environmental fluctuations in demographic rates can have subtle effects on population persistence and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Gregory Roth , Sebastian J. Schreiber