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Uncertainty plays a key role in future prediction. The future is uncertain. That means there might be many possible futures. A future prediction method should cover the whole possibilities to be robust. In autonomous driving, covering…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Adil Kaan Akan

We investigate a probabilistic cellular automaton model which has been introduced recently. This model describes single-lane traffic flow on a ring and generalizes the asymmetric exclusion process models. We study the equilibrium properties…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 M. Schreckenberg , A. Schadschneider , K. Nagel , N. Ito

Understanding neural dynamics is a central topic in machine learning, non-linear physics and neuroscience. However, the dynamics is non-linear, stochastic and particularly non-gradient, i.e., the driving force can not be written as gradient…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-05 Junbin Qiu , Haiping Huang

In this work, we show that the inverse-$\lambda$ shape in the fundamental diagram of traffic flow can be produced dynamically by a simple nonlinear mesoscopic model with stochastic noises. The proposed model is based on the gas-kinetic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-28 Wei-Liang Qian , Adriano F. Siqueira , Romuel F. Machado , Kai Lin , Ted William Grant

Car following (CF) models are fundamental to describing traffic dynamics. However, the CF behavior of human drivers is highly stochastic and nonlinear. As a result, identifying the best CF model has been challenging and controversial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Jiwan Jiang , Yang Zhou , Xin Wang , Soyoung Ahn

This paper presents a new approach to congestion management at traffic-light intersections. The approach is based on controlling the relative lengths of red/green cycles in order to have the congestion level track a given reference. It uses…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Yorai Wardi , Carla Seatzu

The rapid urbanization and increasing traffic have serious social, economic, and environmental impact on metropolitan areas worldwide. It is of a great importance to understand the complex interplay of road networks and traffic conditions.…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Weizi Li , Meilei Jiang , Yaoyu Chen , Ming C. Lin

Inter-city highway transportation is significant for urban life. As one of the key functions in intelligent transportation system (ITS), traffic evaluation always plays significant role nowadays, and daily traffic flow prediction still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Weilong Ding , Tianpu Zhang , Jianwu Wang , Zhuofeng Zhao

The emergence dynamics of traffic instability has always attracted particular attention. For several decades, researchers have studied the stability of traffic flow using deterministic traffic models, with less emphasis on the presence of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-11 Marouane Bouadi , Bin Jia , Rui Jiang , Xingang Li , Zi-You Gao

In modern transportation systems, traffic congestion is inevitable. To minimize the loss caused by congestion, various control strategies have been developed most of which rely on observing real-time traffic conditions. As vintage traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-11 Suyash C. Vishnoi , Sebastian A. Nugroho , Ahmad F. Taha , Christian Claudel , Taposh Banerjee

In the setting of a recently developed cellular stochastic traffic flow model, it has shown that the joint per-cell vehicle densities, as a function of time, can be accurately approximated by a Gaussian process, which has the attractive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Michel Mandjes , Jaap Storm

We introduce a counting process to model the random occurrence in time of car traffic accidents, taking into account some aspects of the self-excitation typical of this phenomenon. By combining methods from probability and differential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-19 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger , Andrea Tosin

Equilibrium modeling is common in a variety of fields such as game theory and transportation science. The inputs for these models, however, are often difficult to estimate, while their outputs, i.e., the equilibria they are meant to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Dynamical systems often exhibit the emergence of long-lived coherent sets, which are regions in state space that keep their geometric integrity to a high extent and thus play an important role in transport. In this article, we provide a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Ralf Banisch , Péter Koltai

We derive macroscopic traffic equations from specific gas-kinetic equations, dropping some of the assumptions and approximations made in previous papers. The resulting partial differential equations for the vehicle density and average…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Martin Treiber , Ansgar Hennecke , Dirk Helbing

We address the traffic light control problem for a single intersection by viewing it as a stochastic hybrid system and developing a Stochastic Flow Model (SFM) for it. We adopt a quasi-dynamic control policy based on partial state…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-06 Yanfeng Geng , Christos G. Cassandras

How can we learn the laws underlying the dynamics of stochastic systems when their trajectories are sampled sparsely in time? Existing methods either require temporally resolved high-frequency observations, or rely on geometric arguments…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Dimitra Maoutsa

Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian

With the emergence of autonomous vehicles, it is important to understand their impact on the transportation system. However, conventional traffic simulations are time-consuming. In this paper, we introduce an analytical traffic model for…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Changliu Liu , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

A framework for deriving probabilistic data-driven closure models is proposed for coarse-grained numerical simulations of turbulence in statistically stationary state. The approach unites the ideal large-eddy simulation model and data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-25 Sagy Ephrati
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