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Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz

Statistical traffic data analysis is a hot topic in traffic management and control. In this field, current research progresses focus on analyzing traffic flows of individual links or local regions in a transportation network. Less attention…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-12-24 Yufei Han , Fabien Moutarde

Due to the complexity of the traffic flow dynamics in urban road networks, most quantitative descriptions of city traffic so far are based on computer simulations. This contribution pursues a macroscopic (fluid-dynamic) simulation approach,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-03-18 Amin Mazloumian , Nikolas Geroliminis , Dirk Helbing

Accurate long series forecasting of traffic information is critical for the development of intelligent traffic systems. We may benefit from the rapid growth of neural network analysis technology to better understand the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Ruikang Luo , Yaofeng Song , Liping Huang , Yicheng Zhang , Rong Su

We propose a stochastic model for the intersection of two urban streets. The traffic state at the crossroads is controlled by a set of traffic lights, which periodically switch to red and green with a total period of T. Vehicular dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Ebrahim Fouladvand , Nima Hamedani Radja

The balanced vehicular traffic model is a macroscopic model for vehicular traffic flow. We use this model to study the traffic dynamics at highway bottlenecks either caused by the restriction of the number of lanes or by on-ramps or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Florian Siebel , Wolfram Mauser , Salissou Moutari , Michel Rascle

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task because of the complexity of real-world human social behaviors and uncertainty of the future motion. For the first issue, existing methods adopt fully connected topology for modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Lidan Zhang , Qi She , Ping Guo

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

This contribution investigates an original stochastic approach for the emergence of stop-and-go waves in traffic flow, a collective phenomenon with significant safety and environmental implications. Using a stable nonlinear car-following…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-04 Raphael Korbmacher , Parthib Khound , Antoine Tordeux , Frank Gronwald

Understanding the mechanisms responsible for the emergence and evolution of oscillations in traffic flow has been subject to intensive research by the traffic flow theory community. In our previous work, we proposed a new mechanism to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-01 Junfang Tian , H. M. Zhang , Martin Treiber , Rui Jiang , Zi-You Gao , Bin Jia

Experimental studies on vehicular traffic provide data on quantities like density, flux, and mean speed of the vehicles. However, the diagrams relating these variables (the fundamental and speed diagrams) show some peculiarities not yet…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Gabriella Puppo , Matteo Semplice , Andrea Tosin , Giuseppe Visconti

Statistical mechanics of a disordered system of cars on a single-lane road is developed. Behaviour of cars is defined by conditional probability of car velocity depending on the distance and velocity of the car ahead. A system consisting of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-13 Anton Šurda

This paper presents a generic motion model to capture mobile robots' dynamic behaviors (translation and rotation). The model is based on statistical models driven by white random processes and is formulated into a full state estimation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Wei Xu , Dongjiao He , Yixi Cai , Fu Zhang

Autonomous agents must be able to safely interact with other vehicles to integrate into urban environments. The safety of these agents is dependent on their ability to predict collisions with other vehicles' future trajectories for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-07 Andrew Patterson , Aditya Gahlawat , Naira Hovakimyan

This work addresses the problem of vehicle path planning in the presence of obstacles and uncertainties, which is a fundamental problem in robotics. While many path planning algorithms have been proposed for decades, many of them have dealt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

The dynamics of Lagrangian particles in turbulence play a crucial role in mixing, transport, and dispersion in complex flows. Their trajectories exhibit highly non-trivial statistical behavior, motivating the development of surrogate models…

Modeling how network-level traffic flow changes in the urban environment is useful for decision-making in transportation, public safety and urban planning. The traffic flow system can be viewed as a dynamic process that transits between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Xiaoliang Lei , Hao Mei , Bin Shi , Hua Wei

In this work, we introduce a novel first-order nonlocal partial differential equation with saturated diffusion to describe the macroscopic behavior of traffic dynamics. We show how the proposed model is better in comparison with existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Dawson Do , Hossein Nick Zinat Matin , Masuma Mollika Miti , Maria Laura Delle Monache

Traffic congestion continues to escalate with urbanization and socioeconomic development, necessitating advanced modeling to understand and mitigate its impacts. In large-scale networks, traffic congestion can be studied using cascade…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-20 Agnieszka Janicka , Fiona Sloothaak , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

Smoothing is a specialized form of Bayesian inference for state-space models that characterizes the posterior distribution of a collection of states given an associated sequence of observations. Ramgraber et al. (2023) proposes a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Maximilian Ramgraber , Ricardo Baptista , Dennis McLaughlin , Youssef Marzouk