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Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

Equilibrium properties in statistical physics are obtained by computing averages with respect to Boltzmann-Gibbs measures, sampled in practice using ergodic dynamics such as the Langevin dynamics. Some quantities however cannot be computed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Gabriel Stoltz

We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

Traffic state forecasting is crucial for traffic management and control strategies, as well as user- and system-level decision making in the transportation network. While traffic forecasting has been approached with a variety of techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Syed Islam , Monika Filipovska

We present data from several German freeways showing different kinds of congested traffic forming near road inhomogeneities, specifically lane closings, intersections, or uphill gradients. The states are localized or extended, homogeneous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Martin Treiber , Ansgar Hennecke , Dirk Helbing

This paper formulates a variational approach for treating observational uncertainty and/or computational model errors as stochastic transport in dynamical systems governed by action principles under nonholonomic constraints. For this…

Classical Physics · Physics 2018-10-23 Darryl D Holm , Vakhtang Putkaradze

Monitoring and control of traffic networks represent alternative, inexpensive strategies to minimize traffic congestion. As the number of traffic sensors is naturally constrained by budgetary requirements, real-time estimation of traffic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Sebastian A. Nugroho , Ahmad F. Taha , Christian Claudel

We investigate the problem of coordinating human-driven vehicles in road intersections without any traffic lights or signs by issuing speed advices. The vehicles in the intersection are assumed to move along an a priori known path and to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Alexander Katriniok , Stefan Kojchev , Erjen Lefeber , Henk Nijmeijer

This paper presents a distributed traffic state estimation framework in which infrastructure sensors and connected vehicles act as autonomous, cooperative sensing nodes. These nodes share local traffic estimates with nearby nodes using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Vincent de Heij , M. Umar B. Niazi , Saeed Ahmed , Karl Henrik Johansson

In this paper, a new model for traffic on roads with multiple lanes is developed, where the vehicles do not adhere to a lane discipline. Assuming identical vehicles, the dynamics is split along two independent directions: the Y-axis…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Rakesh U. Chavan , Debraj Chakraborty , D. Manjunath

We introduce a stochastic traffic flow model to describe random traffic accidents on a single road. The model is a piecewise deterministic process incorporating traffic accidents and is based on a scalar conservation law with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

Space-time visualizations of macroscopic or microscopic traffic variables is a qualitative tool used by traffic engineers to understand and analyze different aspects of road traffic dynamics. We present a deep learning method to learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Bilal Thonnam Thodi , Zaid Saeed Khan , Saif Eddin Jabari , Monica Menendez

The presence of (partially) automated vehicles on the roads presents an opportunity to compensate the unstable behaviour of conventional vehicles. Vehicles subject to perturbations should (i) recover their equilibrium speed, (ii) react not…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Julien Monteil , Melanie Bouroche , Douglas J. Leith

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

We propose a traffic congestion estimation system based on unsupervised on-line learning algorithm. The system does not rely on background extraction or motion detection. It extracts local features inside detection regions of variable size…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-07-07 Ranch Y. Q. Lai

In this work, a stochastic representation based on a physical transport principle is proposed to account for mesoscale eddy effects on the large-scale oceanic circulation. This stochastic framework arises from a decomposition of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-26 Long Li , Bruno Deremble , Noé Lahaye , Etienne Mémin

We present an advanced interpolation method for estimating smooth spatiotemporal profiles for local highway traffic variables such as flow, speed and density. The method is based on stationary detector data as typically collected by traffic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-25 Martin Treiber , Arne Kesting , R. Eddie Wilson

We consider kinetic vehicular traffic flow models of BGK type. Considering different spatial and temporal scales, those models allow to derive a hierarchy of traffic models including a hydrodynamic description. In this paper, the kinetic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Michael Herty , Elisa Iacomini

The reconstruction from observations of high-dimensional chaotic dynamics such as geophysical flows is hampered by (i) the partial and noisy observations that can realistically be obtained, (ii) the need to learn from long time series of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Marc Bocquet , Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Laurent Bertino

By analyzing empirical time headway distributions of traffic flow, a hypothesis about the underlying stochastic process can be drawn. The results found lead to the assumption that the headways $T_i$ of individual vehicles follow a linear…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Wagner