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A loss function measures the discrepancy between the true values (observations) and their estimated fits, for a given instance of data. A loss function is said to be proper (unbiased, Fisher consistent) if the fits are defined over a unit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Amichai Painsky , Gregory W. Wornell

Bayesian predictive densities when the observed data $x$ and the target variable $y$ to be predicted have different distributions are investigated by using the framework of information geometry. The performance of predictive densities is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

This paper discusses predictive densities under the Kullback--Leibler loss for high-dimensional Poisson sequence models under sparsity constraints. Sparsity in count data implies zero-inflation. We present a class of Bayes predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Keisuke Yano , Ryoya Kaneko , Fumiyasu Komaki

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from a finite number of observations is a central machine learning problem. A common approach is to construct estimators using binary classifiers that distinguish observations from the two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Werner Zellinger

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of Bayesian posterior distributions under independent and identically distributed ($i.i.d.$) misspecified models. More specifically, we study the concentration of the posterior distribution on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 R. V. Ramamoorthi , Karthik Sriram , Ryan Martin

To ensure stability of learning, state-of-the-art generalized policy iteration algorithms augment the policy improvement step with a trust region constraint bounding the information loss. The size of the trust region is commonly determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Boris Belousov , Jan Peters

We derive a deterministic, non-asymptotic upper bound on the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence of the flow-matching distribution approximation. In particular, if the $L_2$ flow-matching loss is bounded by $\epsilon^2 > 0$, then the KL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Maojiang Su , Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu , Sophia Pi , Han Liu

Nowadays, deep learning is the standard approach for a wide range of problems, including biometrics, such as face recognition and speech recognition, etc. Biometric problems often use deep learning models to extract features from images,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Pedro Silva , Gladston Moreira , Vander Freitas , Rodrigo Silva , David Menotti , Eduardo Luz

This paper considers reparameterization invariant Bayesian point estimates and credible regions of model parameters for scientific inference and communication. The effect of intrinsic loss function choice in Bayesian intrinsic estimates and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Aki Vehtari

Deep Metric Learning (DML) aims to learn embedding functions that map semantically similar inputs to proximate points in a metric space while separating dissimilar ones. Existing methods, such as pairwise losses, are hindered by complex…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Pedro Silva , Guilherme A. L. Silva , Pablo Coelho , Vander Freitas , Gladston Moreira , David Menotii , Eduardo Luz

We consider here estimation of an unknown probability density s belonging to L2(mu) where mu is a probability measure. We have at hand n i.i.d. observations with density s and use the squared L2-norm as our loss function. The purpose of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Lucien Birgé

Perturbation theory makes it possible to calculate the probability distribution function (PDF) of the large scale density field in the small variance limit. For top hat smoothing and scale-free Gaussian initial fluctuations, the result…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. Colombi , F. Bernardeau , F. R. Bouchet , L. Hernquist

This paper focuses on $\alpha$-divergence minimisation methods for Variational Inference. More precisely, we are interested in algorithms optimising the mixture weights of any given mixture model, without any information on the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Kamélia Daudel , Randal Douc

In this work, we are concerned with the estimation of the predictive density of a Gaussian random vector where both the mean and the variance are unknown. In such a context, we prove the inadmissibility of the best equivariant predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Aurélie Boisbunon , Yuzo Maruyama

Kernel density estimation is a popular method for estimating unseen probability distributions. However, the convergence of these classical estimators to the true density slows down in high dimensions. Moreover, they do not define meaningful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jack Kendrick

This article is devoted to the study of overlap measures of densities of two exponential populations. Various Overlapping Coefficients, namely: Matusita's measure $\rho$, Morisita's measure $\lambda$ and Weitzman's measure $\Delta$. A new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Hamza Dhaker , Papa Ngom , Malick Mbodj

In this paper, we study two problems: (1) estimation of a $d$-dimensional log-concave distribution and (2) bounded multivariate convex regression with random design with an underlying log-concave density or a compactly supported…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Gil Kur , Yuval Dagan , Alexander Rakhlin

We propose new nonparametric accordance R\'enyi-$\alpha$ and $\alpha$-Tsallis divergence estimators for continuous distributions. We discuss this approach with a view to the selection model (on al\'etoire and autoregressive AR (1)). We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-22 Hamza Dhaker , Papa Ngom , Pierre Mendy

Estimating the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between random variables is a fundamental problem in statistical analysis. For continuous random variables, traditional information-theoretic estimators scale poorly with dimension and/or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Mikil Foss , Andrew Lamperski

Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) has many good properties. For example, the asymptotic variance of MLE solution attains equality of the asymptotic Cram{\'e}r-Rao lower bound (efficiency bound), which is the minimum possible variance for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Song Liu , Takafumi Kanamori , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yu Chen