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We examine the estimation of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence and the use of the goodness-of-fit test for multivariate continuous distributions. Our starting point is the maximum entropy principle for Shannon entropy: among all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Mehmet Siddik Cadirci , Martin Singull

Optimality results for two outstanding Bayesian estimation problems are given in this paper: the estimation of the sampling distribution for the squared total variation function and the estimation of the density for the $L^1$-squared loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-28 A. G. Nogales

We construct confidence sets for the regression function in nonparametric binary regression with an unknown design density. These confidence sets are adaptive in $L^2$ loss over a continuous class of Sobolev type spaces. Adaptation holds in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

This paper describes a new Bayesian interpretation of a class of skew--Student $t$ distributions. We consider a hierarchical normal model with unknown covariance matrix and show that by imposing different restrictions on the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani

In this technical report, we consider conditional density estimation with a maximum likelihood approach. Under weak assumptions, we obtain a theoretical bound for a Kullback-Leibler type loss for a single model maximum likelihood estimate.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Serge Cohen , Erwan Le Pennec

In this paper, we propose ISDE (Independence Structure Density Estimation), an algorithm designed to estimate a multivariate density under Kullback-Leibler loss and the Independence Structure (IS) model. IS tackles the curse of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Louis Pujol

Sensitivity analysis of a numerical model, for instance simulating physical phenomena, is useful to quantify the influence of the inputs on the model responses. This paper proposes a new sensitivity index, based upon the modification of the…

In this work we introduce a family of transformations, named \textit{divergence transformations}, interpolating between any pair of probability density functions sharing the same support. We prove the remarkable property that the whole…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-15 Razvan Gabriel Iagar , David Puertas-Centeno , Elio V. Toranzo

Time delay lensing is a mature and competitive cosmological probe. However, it is limited in accuracy by the well-known problem of the mass-sheet degeneracy: too rigid assumptions on the density profile of the lens can potentially bias the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-27 Alessandro Sonnenfeld

This paper investigates the large sample properties of local regression distribution estimators, which include a class of boundary adaptive density estimators as a prime example. First, we establish a pointwise Gaussian large sample…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

In this paper we prove the optimality of an aggregation procedure. We prove lower bounds for aggregation of model selection type of $M$ density estimators for the Kullback-Leiber divergence (KL), the Hellinger's distance and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Guillaume Lecué

In this paper, some new upper bounds for Kullback-Leibler divergence(KL-divergence) based on $L^1, L^2$ and $L^\infty$ norms of density functions are discussed. Our findings unveil that the convergence in KL-divergence sense sandwiches…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Liuquan Yao , Songhao Liu

We extend several recent results providing symmetry-based guarantees for variational inference (VI) with location-scale families. VI approximates a target density $p$ by the best match $q^*$ in a family $Q$ of tractable distributions that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Charles C. Margossian , Lawrence K. Saul

We study density estimation in Kullback-Leibler divergence: given an i.i.d. sample from an unknown density $p^\star$, the goal is to construct an estimator $\widehat{p}$ such that $\mathrm{KL}(p^\star,\widehat{p})$ is small with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Spencer Compton , Gábor Lugosi , Jaouad Mourtada , Jian Qian , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

In this paper, we address the problem of estimating a multidimensional density $f$ by using indirect observations from the statistical model $Y=X+\varepsilon$. Here, $\varepsilon$ is a measurement error independent of the random vector $X$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Gilles Rebelles

We derive a new variational formula for the R\'enyi family of divergences, $R_\alpha(Q\|P)$, between probability measures $Q$ and $P$. Our result generalizes the classical Donsker-Varadhan variational formula for the Kullback-Leibler…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Jeremiah Birrell , Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Jie Wang

We consider the problem of estimating the predictive density of future observations from a non-parametric regression model. The density estimators are evaluated under Kullback--Leibler divergence and our focus is on establishing the exact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Xinyi Xu , Feng Liang

We study the Proximal Langevin Algorithm (PLA) for sampling from a probability distribution $\nu = e^{-f}$ on $\mathbb{R}^n$ under isoperimetry. We prove a convergence guarantee for PLA in Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence when $\nu$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-06 Andre Wibisono

This paper shows that large nonparametric classes of conditional multivariate densities can be approximated in the Kullback--Leibler distance by different specifications of finite mixtures of normal regressions in which normal means and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Andriy Norets

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is frequently used in data science. For discrete distributions on large state spaces, approximations of probability vectors may result in a few small negative entries, rendering the KL divergence…