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Related papers: On Predictive Density Estimation under $\alpha$-di…

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We consider nonparametric estimation of $L_2$, Renyi-$\alpha$ and Tsallis-$\alpha$ divergences between continuous distributions. Our approach is to construct estimators for particular integral functionals of two densities and translate them…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-13 Akshay Krishnamurthy , Kirthevasan Kandasamy , Barnabas Poczos , Larry Wasserman

Let $X,U,Y$ be spherically symmetric distributed having density $$\eta^{d +k/2} \, f\left(\eta(\|x-\theta|^2+ \|u\|^2 + \|y-c\theta\|^2 ) \right)\,,$$ with unknown parameters $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$ and $\eta>0$, and with known density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-13 Dominique Fourdrinier , Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

This article examines density estimation by combining a parametric approach with a nonparametric factor. The plug-in parametric estimator is seen as a crude estimator of the true density and is adjusted by a nonparametric factor. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kanta Naito

We study the adaptation properties of the multivariate log-concave maximum likelihood estimator over three subclasses of log-concave densities. The first consists of densities with polyhedral support whose logarithms are piecewise affine.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Oliver Y. Feng , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Arlene K. H. Kim , Richard J. Samworth

We consider estimating the predictive density under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model. Decision theoretic properties of the within-family prediction error -- the minimal risk among estimates in the class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

Tensor-based discrete density estimation requires flexible modeling and proper divergence criteria to enable effective learning; however, traditional approaches using $\alpha$-divergence face analytical challenges due to the $\alpha$-power…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-26 Kazu Ghalamkari , Jesper Løve Hinrich , Morten Mørup

We study empirical Bayes (EB) predictive density estimation in linear mixed models (LMMs) with large number of units, which induce a high dimensional random effects space. Focusing on Kullback Leibler (KL) risk minimization, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Abir Sarkar , Gourab Mukherjee , Keisuke Yano

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

We study predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in $\ell_0$-sparse Gaussian sequence models. We propose proper Bayes predictive density estimates and establish asymptotic minimaxity in sparse models. A surprise is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

Simultaneous predictive densities for independent Poisson observables are investigated. The observed data and the target variables to be predicted are independently distributed according to different Poisson distributions parametrized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a core technique in machine learning used to capture relationships between two probability distributions. $f$-divergence loss functions, which are derived from variational representations of $f$-divergence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yoshiaki Kitazawa

In the context of density level set estimation, we study the convergence of general plug-in methods under two main assumptions on the density for a given level $\lambda$. More precisely, it is assumed that the density (i) is smooth in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Philippe Rigollet , Régis Vert

This paper deals with a method for the approximation of a spectral density function among the solutions of a generalized moment problem a` la Byrnes/Georgiou/Lindquist. The approximation is pursued with respect to the Kullback-Leibler…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-11-04 Augusto Ferrante , Federico Ramponi , Francesco Ticozzi

We consider predictive density estimation under logarithmic score for $d$-dimensional infinitely divisible location models. Taking the formal Bayes predictive density under the Lebesgue prior as a benchmark, we study the Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Kōsaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn

The problem of estimating the Kullback-Leibler divergence $D(P\|Q)$ between two unknown distributions $P$ and $Q$ is studied, under the assumption that the alphabet size $k$ of the distributions can scale to infinity. The estimation is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-22 Yuheng Bu , Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The deepening penetration of renewable resources into power systems entails great difficulties that have not been surmounted satisfactorily. An issue that merits special attention is the short-term planning of power systems under net load…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

This paper addresses the problem of approximating an unknown probability distribution with density $f$ -- which can only be evaluated up to an unknown scaling factor -- with the help of a sequential algorithm that produces at each iteration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Pascal Bianchi , Bernard Delyon , Victor Priser , François Portier

Recent work has focused on the problem of nonparametric estimation of information divergence functionals. Many existing approaches are restrictive in their assumptions on the density support set or require difficult calculations at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Kevin R. Moon , Kumar Sricharan , Kristjan Greenewald , Alfred O. Hero

When approximating an intractable density via variational inference (VI) the variational family is typically chosen as a simple parametric family that very likely does not contain the target. This raises the question: Under which conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Lena Zellinger , Antonio Vergari

We address the problem of detecting changes in multivariate datastreams, and we investigate the intrinsic difficulty that change-detection methods have to face when the data dimension scales. In particular, we consider a general approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-04 Cesare Alippi , Giacomo Boracchi , Diego Carrera , Manuel Roveri