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This paper introduces the class of ambiguity sparse processes, containing subsets of popular nonstationary time series such as locally stationary, cyclostationary and uniformly modulated processes. The class also contains aggregations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Sofia Olhede

We compute spectra of sample auto-covariance matrices of second order stationary stochastic processes. We look at a limit in which both the matrix dimension $N$ and the sample size $M$ used to define empirical averages diverge, with their…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-03 Reimer Kuehn , Peter Sollich

For each $\lambda>0$ and every square-integrable infinitely-divisible (ID) distribution there exists at least one stationary stochastic process $t\mapsto X_t$ with the specified distribution for $X_1$ and with first-order autoregressive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Robert L Wolpert

In this paper we propose an identification method for latent-variable graphical models associated to autoregressive (AR) Gaussian stationary processes. The identification procedure exploits the approximation of AR processes through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Daniele Alpago , Mattia Zorzi , Augusto Ferrante

In recent years, autoregressive models have had a profound impact on the description of astronomical time series as the observation of a stochastic process. These methods have advantages compared with common Fourier techniques concerning…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Michael Koenig , Jens Timmer

We introduce a wavelet-based model of local stationarity. This model enlarges the class of locally stationary wavelet processes and contains processes whose spectral density function may change very suddenly in time. A notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-12 Sébastien Van Bellegem , Rainer von Sachs

The family of semi-stable laws is shown to be semi-selfdecomposable. Thus they qualify to model stationary first order autoregressive schemes. A connection between these autoregressive schemes with semi-stable marginals and semi-selfsimilar…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S Satheesh , E Sandhya

This paper presents a backfitting-type method for estimating and forecasting a periodically correlated partially linear model with exogeneous variables and heteroskedastic input noise. A rate of convergence of the estimator is given. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Xavier Brossat , Georges Oppenheim , Marie-Claude Viano

We face the factor analysis problem using a particular class of auto-regressive processes. We propose an approximate moment matching approach to estimate the number of factors as well as the parameters of the model. This algorithm…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Francesca Crescente , Lucia Falconi , Federica Rozzi , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

We propose a procedure to decide between the null hypothesis of (strict) stationarity and the alternative of non-stationarity, in the context of a Random Coefficient AutoRegression (RCAR). The procedure is based on randomising a diagnostic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-07 Lorenzo Trapani

In this article, we propose the fractional lower order covariance method (FLOC) for estimating the parameters of vector autoregressive process (VAR) of order $p$, $p\geq 1$ with symmetric stable noise. Further, we show the efficiency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-16 Aastha M. Sathe , N. S. Upadhye

In this study, we examine if engineered topological features can distinguish time series sampled from different stochastic processes with different noise characteristics, in both balanced and unbalanced sampling schemes. We compare our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-29 İsmail Güzel , Atabey Kaygun

In this note we show that the locally stationary wavelet process can be decomposed into a sum of signals, each of which following a moving average process with time-varying parameters. We then show that such moving average processes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , G. P. Nason

Oscillations and noise are ubiquitous in physical and biological systems. When oscillations arise from a deterministic limit cycle, entrainment and synchronization may be analyzed in terms of the asymptotic phase function. In the presence…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-20 Peter J. Thomas , Benjamin Lindner

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We prove several results concerning classifications, based on successive observations $(X_1,..., X_n)$ of an unknown stationary and ergodic process, for membership in a given class of processes, such as the class of all finite order Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as $\abs{k}^{2H-2}$ times a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Yong Chen , Li Tian , Ying Li

The stochastic processes of finite length defined by recurrence relations request additional relations specifying the first terms of the process analogously to the initial conditions for the differential equations. As a general rule, in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-05 Calin Vamos , Stefan M. Soltuz , Maria Craciun

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a stochastic parabolic equation with multiplicative noise under the assumption that the equation can be reduced to an infinite system of uncoupled diffusion processes. From the point of view…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Igor Cialenco , Sergey V. Lototsky

We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of strictly stationary solutions of multivariate ARMA equations with independent and identically distributed noise. For general ARMA$(p,q)$ equations these conditions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-19 Peter J. Brockwell , Alexander Lindner , Bernd Vollenbroeker
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