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While considerable advances have been made in estimating high-dimensional structured models from independent data using Lasso-type models, limited progress has been made for settings when the samples are dependent. We consider estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

Heteroskedasticity is a common feature of financial time series and is commonly addressed in the model building process through the use of ARCH and GARCH processes. More recently multivariate variants of these processes have been in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-18 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horvath , Daniel Pellatt

Autoregressive (AR) modeling is invaluable in signal processing, in particular in speech and audio fields. Attempts in the literature can be found that regularize or constrain either the time-domain signal values or the AR coefficients,…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-06 Ondřej Mokrý , Pavel Rajmic

The approximation of a stationary time-series by finite order autoregressive (AR) and moving averages (MA) is a problem that occurs in many applications. In this paper we study asymptotic behavior of the spectral density of finite order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Symantak Datta Gupta , Ravi R. Mazumdar , Peter W. Glynn

In this work, we shall consider the existence and uniqueness of stationary solutions to stochastic partial functional differential equations with additive noise in which a neutral type of delay is explicitly presented. We are especially…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Kai Liu

A nearly unstable sequence of stationary spatial autoregressive processes is investigated, when the sum of the absolute values of the autoregressive coefficients tends to one. It is shown that after an appropriate norming the least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-18 Sándor Baran , Gyula Pap

Stationarity is a very common assumption in time series analysis. A vector autoregressive process is stationary if and only if the roots of its characteristic equation lie outside the unit circle, constraining the autoregressive coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Sarah E. Heaps

New results on strong-consistency, in the Hilbert-Schmidt and trace operator norms, are obtained, in the parameter estimation of an autoregressive Hilbertian process of order one (ARH(1) process). In particular, a strongly-consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-13 M. D. Ruiz-Medina , J. Alvarez-Liebana

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

A new sufficient condition for the existence of a stationary causal solution of an ARCH($\infty$) equation is provided. This condition allows to consider polynomially decaying coefficients, so that it can be applied to the so-called FIGARCH…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Randal Douc , François Roueff , Philippe Soulier

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

This paper presents new results on prediction of linear processes in function spaces. The autoregressive Hilbertian process framework of order one (ARH(1) process framework) is adopted. A componentwise estimator of the autocorrelation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-05 J. Álvarez-Liébana , D. Bosq , M. Dolores Ruiz-Medina

We introduce a new class of conditional autoregressive models for spatially dependent functional data, formulated through conditional means given neighboring functional observations and characterized by a covariance operator and a spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sooran Kim

In this paper we introduce a modified version of a gaussian standard first-order autoregressive process where we allow for a dependence structure between the state variable $Y_{t-1}$ and the next innovation $\xi_t$. We call this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

We study a generalized ARCH model with liquidity given by a general stationary process. We provide minimal assumptions that ensure the existence and uniqueness of the stationary solution. In addition, we provide consistent estimators for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor , Lauri Viitasaari , Marko Voutilainen

Previous results pertaining to algebraic state and parameter estimation of linear systems based on a special construction of a forward-backward kernel representation of linear differential invariants are extended to handle large noise in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-02 Debarshi Patanjali Ghoshal , Hannah Michalska

This note develops a stochastic model of asset volatility. The volatility obeys a continuous-time autoregressive equation. Conditions under which the process is asymptotically stationary and possesses long memory are characterised.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-28 John A. D. Appleby , John A. Daniels , Katja Krol

In this note we review several situations in which stochastic PDEs exhibit ergodic properties. We begin with the basic dissipative conditions, as stated by Da Prato and Zabczyk in their classical monograph. Then we describe the singular…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Le Chen , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel , Panqiu Xia

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra