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Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

Estimating the periodicity of a stationary time series via fitting a second order stationary autoregressive (AR(2)) model has been initiated by the seminal paper of Yule(1927).. We investigate properties of this procedure when applied to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Panagiotis Maouris , Efstathios Paparoditis

This paper presents a new result on strong-consistency, in the trace norm, of a diagonal componentwise parameter estimator of the autocorrelation operator of an autoregressive process of order one (ARH(1) process), allowing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-18 M. D. Ruiz-Medina , J. Álvarez-Liébana

A statistical inference for random coefficient first-order autoregressive model $[RCAR(1)]$ was investigated by P.M. ROBINSON (1978) in which the coefficients varying over individuals. In this paper we attempt to generalize this result to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-13 A. Bouchemella , A. Bibi

The structure of stationary first order max-autoregressive schemes with max-semi-stable marginals is studied. A connection between semi-selfsimilar extremal processes and this max-autoregressive scheme is discussed resulting in their…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-09 S Satheesh , E Sandhya

Here we develop a first order autoregressive model {Xn} that is marginally stationary where Xn is the sum/ extreme of k i.i.d observations. We prove that stationary solutions to these models are either semi-selfdecomposable/…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S Satheesh , E Sandhya , S Sherly

We provide new, mild conditions for strict stationarity and ergodicity of a class of BEKK processes. By exploiting that the processes can be represented as multivariate stochastic recurrence equations, we characterize the tail behavior of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Muneya Matsui , Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen

The class of autoregressive (AR) processes is extensively used to model temporal dependence in observed time series. Such models are easily available and routinely fitted using freely available statistical software like R. A potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Pedro G. Nicolau , Håvard Rue

In recent years, autoregressive models have had a profound impact on the description of astronomical time series as the observation of a stochastic process. These methods have advantages compared with common Fourier techniques concerning…

Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-27 M. König , J. Timmer , R. Staubert

This paper proposes a methodology to estimate characteristic functions of stochastic differential equations that are defined over polynomials and driven by L\'evy noise. For such systems, the time evolution of the characteristic function is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-20 Khem Raj Ghusinga , Andrew Lamperski , Abhyudai Singh

Multivariate process satisfying affine stochastic recurrence equation with generic diagonal matrices is considered. We prove that the stationary solution is regularly varying. The results are applicable to diagonal autoregressive models.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Ewa Damek

We study a fairly general class of time-homogeneous stochastic evolutions driven by noises that are not white in time. As a consequence, the resulting processes do not have the Markov property. In this setting, we obtain constructive…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-12 M. Hairer

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

The higher dimensional autoregressive models would describe some of the econometric processes relatively generically if they incorporate the heterogeneity in dependence on times. This paper analyzes the stationarity of an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Varsha S. Kulkarni

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process with non-zero mean driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Yanping Lu

The estimation of the covariance function of a stochastic process, or signal, is of integral importance for a multitude of signal processing applications. In this work, we derive closed-form expressions for the variance of covariance…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson

Stop-and-go waves are commonly observed in traffic and pedestrian flows. In most traffic models they occur through a phase transition after fine tuning of parameters when the model has unstable homogeneous solutions. Inertia effects are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-03 Antoine Tordeux , Andreas Schadschneider , Sylvain Lassarre

Additive or multiplicative stationary noise recently became an important issue in applied fields such as microscopy or satellite imaging. Relatively few works address the design of dedicated denoising methods compared to the usual white…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-07-18 Jérôme Fehrenbach , Pierre Weiss

We introduce and explore a new class of stationary time series models for variance matrices based on a constructive definition exploiting inverse Wishart distribution theory. The main class of models explored is a novel class of stationary,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-27 Emily B. Fox , Mike West

The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-09 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo