English

Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability 2015-10-05 v1

Abstract

The stochastic processes of finite length defined by recurrence relations request additional relations specifying the first terms of the process analogously to the initial conditions for the differential equations. As a general rule, in time series theory one analyzes only stochastic processes of infinite length which need no such initial conditions and their properties are less difficult to be determined. In this paper we compare the properties of the order 1 autoregressive processes of finite and infinite length and we prove that the time series length has an important influence mainly if the serial correlation is significant. These different properties can manifest themselves as transient effects produced when a time series is numerically generated. We show that for an order 1 autoregressive process the transient behavior can be avoided if the first term is a Gaussian random variable with standard deviation equal to that of the theoretical infinite process and not to that of the white noise innovation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.0709.2963,
  title  = {Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length},
  author = {Calin Vamos and Stefan M. Soltuz and Maria Craciun},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0709.2963},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

9 pages, 8 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-21T09:18:59.114Z