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The Earth is a system of numerous interconnected spheres, such as the climate. Climate's global and regional influence requires understanding its evolution in space and time to improve knowledge and forecasts. Analyzing and studying decades…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-21 E Ankitha Reddy , KS Rajan

Living systems exhibit complex yet organized behavior on multiple spatiotemporal scales. To investigate the nature of multiscale coordination in living systems, one needs a meaningful and systematic way to quantify the complex dynamics, a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-03-11 Mengsen Zhang , William D. Kalies , J. A. Scott Kelso , Emmanuelle Tognoli

Distribution grid is the medium and low voltage part of a large power system. Structurally, the majority of distribution networks operate radially, such that energized lines form a collection of trees, i.e. forest, with a substation being…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-12 Deepjyoti Deka , Michael Chertkov , Scott Backhaus

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

The relation between thermodynamic phase transitions in classical systems and topological changes in their configuration space is discussed for two physical models and contains the first exact analytic computation of a topologic invariant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Lapo Casetti , Marco Pettini , E. G. D. Cohen

The non-stationary nature of real-world Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data presents forecasting models with a formidable challenge of the time-variant distribution of time series, referred to as distribution shift. Existing studies on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Xiaojun Xue , Shoujin Wang , Liang Hu , Longbing Cao

Dynamical system properties give rise to effects in Statistical Mechanics. Topological index changes can be the basis for phase transitions. The Euler characteristic is a versatile topological invariant that can be evaluated for model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ajay Patwardhan

Transfer matrix methods and intersection theory are used to calculate the bands of edge states for a wide class of periodic two-dimensional tight-binding models including a sublattice and spin degree of freedom. This allows to define…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-10-28 Julio Cesar Avila , Hermann Schulz-Baldes , Carlos Villegas-Blas

Climate modelers generally require meteorological information on regular grids, but monitoring stations are, in practice, sited irregularly. Thus, there is a need to produce public data records that interpolate available data to a high…

Applications · Statistics 2009-06-08 Michael L. Stein

Diffusion condensation is a dynamic process that yields a sequence of multiscale data representations that aim to encode meaningful abstractions. It has proven effective for manifold learning, denoising, clustering, and visualization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Guillaume Huguet , Alexander Tong , Bastian Rieck , Jessie Huang , Manik Kuchroo , Matthew Hirn , Guy Wolf , Smita Krishnaswamy

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models have attracted attention in generative time series forecasting due to their remarkable capacity to generate high-fidelity samples. However, the effective utilization of their strong modeling ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Xinyao Fan , Yueying Wu , Chang Xu , Yuhao Huang , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

Signal processing and machine learning algorithms for data supported over graphs, require the knowledge of the graph topology. Unless this information is given by the physics of the problem (e.g., water supply networks, power grids), the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Alberto Natali , Mario Coutino , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus

Seismic datasets contain valuable information that originate from areas of interest in the subsurface; such seismic reflections are however inevitably contaminated by other events created by waves reverberating in the overburden.…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-08-10 Matteo Ravasi , Tamil Selvan , Nick Luiken

The decomposition of a time series is an essential task that helps to understand its very nature. It facilitates the analysis and forecasting of complex time series expressing various hidden components such as the trend, seasonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Grzegorz Dudek

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is the collection of mathematical tools that capture the structure of shapes in data. Despite computational topology and computational geometry, the utilization of TDA in time series and signal processing is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Shafie Gholizadeh , Wlodek Zadrozny

It has long been suggested that the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation possesses what has come to be known as `weather regimes', loosely categorised as regions of phase space with above-average density and/or extended persistence. Their…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-07-13 Kristian Strommen , Matthew Chantry , Joshua Dorrington , Nina Otter

Statistical differentiability of the measure along the reconstructed trajectory is a good candidate to quantify determinism in time series. The procedure is based upon a formula that explicitly shows the sensitivity of the measure to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Guillermo J. Ortega , Enrique Louis

We analyze the time reversed dynamics of generative diffusion models. If the exact empirical score function is used in a regime of large dimension and exponentially large number of samples, these models are known to undergo transitions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Anand Jerry George , Rodrigo Veiga , Nicolas Macris

Space-Time Projection (STP) is introduced as a data-driven forecasting approach for high-dimensional and time-resolved data. The method computes extended space-time proper orthogonal modes from training data spanning a prediction horizon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Oliver T. Schmidt

Topology identification and inference of processes evolving over graphs arise in timely applications involving brain, transportation, financial, power, as well as social and information networks. This chapter provides an overview of graph…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-12 Gonzalo Mateos , Yanning Shen , Georgios B. Giannakis , Ananthram Swami