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This paper considers continuous data assimilation (CDA) in partial differential equation (PDE) discretizations where nudging parameters can be taken arbitrarily large. We prove that long-time optimally accurate solutions are obtained for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Amanda Diegel , Xuejian Li , Leo G. Rebholz

In the past couple of years, there is a proliferation in the use of machine learning approaches to represent subgrid scale processes in geophysical flows with an aim to improve the forecasting capability and to accelerate numerical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-13 Suraj Pawar , Omer San

The nudging data assimilation algorithm is a powerful tool used to forecast phenomena of interest given incomplete and noisy observations. Machine learning is becoming increasingly popular in data assimilation given its ease of computation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Randy Price

With the increasing penetration of high-frequency sensors across a number of biological and physical systems, the abundance of the resulting observations offers opportunities for higher statistical accuracy of down-stream estimates, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Shushu Zhang , Vivak Patel

Data assimilation schemes are confronted with the presence of model errors arising from the imperfect description of atmospheric dynamics. These errors are usually modeled on the basis of simple assumptions such as bias, white noise, first…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Carrassi , S. Vannitsem , C. Nicolis

Bayesian state estimation of a dynamical system utilising a stream of noisy measurements is important in many geophysical and engineering applications. We establish rigorous results on (time-asymptotic) accuracy and stability of these…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Animikh Biswas , Michal Branicki

In recent years, the convergence of data-driven machine learning models with Data Assimilation (DA) offers a promising avenue for enhancing weather forecasting. This study delves into this emerging trend, presenting our methodologies and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-17 Wenqi Wang , Jacob Bieker , Rossella Arcucci , César Quilodrán-Casas

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

This article studies the intimate relationship between two filtering algorithms for continuous data assimilation, the synchronization filter and the nudging filter, in the paradigmatic context of the two-dimensional (2D) Navier-Stokes…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Elizabeth Carlson , Aseel Farhat , Vincent R. Martinez , Collin Victor

Data assimilation, in its most comprehensive form, addresses the Bayesian inverse problem of identifying plausible state trajectories that explain noisy or incomplete observations of stochastic dynamical systems. Various approaches have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

A goal of data assimilation is to infer stochastic dynamical behaviors with available observations. We consider transition phenomena between metastable states for a stochastic system with (non-Gaussian) $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise. With…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xingye Kan

A novel method, based on the combination of data assimilation and machine learning is introduced. The new hybrid approach is designed for a two-fold scope: (i) emulating hidden, possibly chaotic, dynamics and (ii) predicting their future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

We develop, analyze, and test an approximate, global data assimilation/synchronization algorithm based on purely local observations for the two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations on the torus. We prove that, for any error threshold, if the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-08-18 Animikh Biswas , Zachary Bradshaw , Michael S. Jolly

Data assimilation is a fundamental task in updating forecasting models upon observing new data, with applications ranging from weather prediction to online reinforcement learning. Deep generative forecasting models (DGFMs) have shown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Shreya Sinha-Roy , Richard G. Everitt , Christian P. Robert , Ritabrata Dutta

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

The problem of differentiating a function with bounded second derivative in the presence of bounded measurement noise is considered in both continuous-time and sampled-data settings. Fundamental performance limitations of causal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 Richard Seeber , Hernan Haimovich

Data assimilation is a vital component in modern global medium-range weather forecasting systems to obtain the best estimation of the atmospheric state by combining the short-term forecast and observations. Recently, AI-based data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Kun Chen , Tao Chen , Peng Ye , Hao Chen , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science. In practice, filtering methods rely on…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-15 Yixuan Jia , Siyi Chen , Yida Pan , Xiao Li , Lianghe Shi , Chanyong Jung , Haijie Yuan , Ismail Alkhouri , Yue Cynthia Wu , Saiprasad Ravishankar , Jeffrey A Fessler , Qing Qu

Obtaining accurate high-resolution representations of model outputs is essential to describe the system dynamics. In general, however, only spatially- and temporally-coarse observations of the system states are available. These observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Mohamad Abed El Rahman Hammoud , Olivier LeMaitre , Edriss S. Titi , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar Knio
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