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Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Ahmed Attia , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

Safety-critical navigation applications require that estimation errors be reliably quantified and bounded. This can be challenging for linear dynamic systems if the process noise or measurement errors have uncertain time correlation. In…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-22 Omar Garcia Crespillo , Mathieu Joerger , Steve Langel

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

Model errors are increasingly seen as a fundamental performance limiter in both Numerical Weather Prediction and Climate Prediction simulations run with state of the art Earth system digital twins.This has motivated recent efforts aimed at…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-22 Massimo Bonavita

Machine learning models trained by different optimization algorithms under different data distributions can exhibit distinct generalization behaviors. In this paper, we analyze the generalization of models trained by noisy iterative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-29 Hao Wang , Rui Gao , Flavio P. Calmon

We propose an algorithm to actively estimate the parameters of a linear dynamical system. Given complete control over the system's input, our algorithm adaptively chooses the inputs to accelerate estimation. We show a finite time bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Andrew Wagenmaker , Kevin Jamieson

We obtain some important fundamental inequalities concerning the long time behavior of high order derivatives for solutions of some dissipative systems in terms of their $L^2$ algebraic decay. Some of these inequalities have not been…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-24 P. Braz e Silva , R. Guterres , C. F. Perusato , P. R. Zingano

This work is about a slow-fast data assimilation system under non-Gaussian noisy fluctuations. Firstly, we show the existence of a random invariant manifold for a stochastic dynamical system with non-Gaussian noise and two-time scales.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-12 Yanjie Zhang , Huijie Qiao , Jinqiao Duan

We study different approaches to implementing sparse-in-time observations into the the Azouani-Olson-Titi data assimilation algorithm. We propose a new method which introduces a "data assimilation window" separate from the observational…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Adam Larios , Yuan Pei , Collin Victor

This paper is a contribution in the context of variational data assimilation combined with statistical learning. The framework of data assimilation traditionally uses data collected at sensor locations in order to bring corrections to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Amina Benaceur , Barbara Verfürth

We identify the asymptotic limit of the compressible non-isentropic Navier-Stokes system in the regime of low Mach, low Froude and high Reynolds number. The system is driven by a long range gravitational potential. We show convergence to an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-19 Donatella Donatelli , Eduard Feireisl

Sampling arises simultaneously with input and output delays in networked control systems. When the delay is left uncompensated, the sampling period is generally required to be sufficiently small, the delay sufficiently short, and, for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-12-13 Iasson Karafyllis , Miroslav Krstic

In this paper we present two results: (1) A data assimilation algorithm for the 3D Navier-Stokes equation (3D NSE) using nodal data, and, as a consequence (2) a novel regularity criterion for the 3D NSE based on finitely many observations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Abhishek Balakrishna , Animikh Biswas

In this paper, we derive a novel procedure for set-membership estimation of dynamical systems affected by stochastic noise with unbounded support. Employing a bound on the sample covariance matrix, we are able to provide a finite- sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Felix Brändle , Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli , Frank Allgöwer

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Data assimilation techniques are widely used to predict complex dynamical systems with uncertainties, based on time-series observation data. Error covariance matrices modelling is an important element in data assimilation algorithms which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Sibo Cheng , Mingming Qiu

The review describes the development of ideas Gury Ivanovich Marchuk in the field of variational data assimilation for ocean models applied in particular in coupled models for long-range weather forecasts. Particular attention is paid to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-07 Christine Kazantsev , Eugene Kazantsev , Mikhail Tolstykh

This chapter describes a novel approach for the treatment of model error in geophysical data assimilation. In this method, model error is treated as a deterministic process fully correlated in time. This allows for the derivation of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-11-11 Alberto Carrassi , Stéphane Vannitsem
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