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The automated real-time recognition of unexpected situations plays a crucial role in the safety of autonomous vehicles, especially in unsupported and unpredictable scenarios. This paper evaluates different Bayesian uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Ruben Grewal , Paolo Tonella , Andrea Stocco

Uncertainty Quantification aims to determine when the prediction from a Machine Learning model is likely to be wrong. Computer Vision research has explored methods for determining epistemic uncertainty (also known as model uncertainty),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Prithviraj Manivannan , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Andreea Ioana Sburlea

Tree ensembles are powerful models that are widely used. However, they are susceptible to adversarial examples, which are examples that purposely constructed to elicit a misprediction from the model. This can degrade performance and erode a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Laurens Devos , Wannes Meert , Jesse Davis

The presence of mutual information in the research of deep learning has grown significantly. It has been proven that mutual information can be a good objective function to build a robust deep learning model. Most of the researches utilize…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Marshal Arijona Sinaga

We propose a method for training a deterministic deep model that can find and reject out of distribution data points at test time with a single forward pass. Our approach, deterministic uncertainty quantification (DUQ), builds upon ideas of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Joost van Amersfoort , Lewis Smith , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

Various strategies for active learning have been proposed in the machine learning literature. In uncertainty sampling, which is among the most popular approaches, the active learner sequentially queries the label of those instances for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Vu-Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Eyke Hüllermeier

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Benchmarking models is a key factor for the rapid progress in machine learning (ML) research. Thus, further progress depends on improving benchmarking metrics. A standard metric to measure the behavioral alignment between ML models and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-10 Thomas Klein , Sascha Meyen , Wieland Brendel , Felix A. Wichmann , Kristof Meding

In this paper we focus on the estimation of mutual information from finite samples $(\mathcal{X}\times\mathcal{Y})$. The main concern with estimations of mutual information is their robustness under the class of transformations for which it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-04 Nicholas Carrara , Jesse Ernst

Most previous works usually explained adversarial examples from several specific perspectives, lacking relatively integral comprehension about this problem. In this paper, we present a systematic study on adversarial examples from three…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ke Sun , Zhanxing Zhu , Zhouchen Lin

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

Knowing the uncertainty in a prediction is critical when making expensive investment decisions and when patient safety is paramount, but machine learning (ML) models in drug discovery typically provide only a single best estimate and ignore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Stanley E. Lazic , Dominic P. Williams

The development of large databases of material properties, together with the availability of powerful computers, has allowed machine learning (ML) modeling to become a widely used tool for predicting material performances. While confidence…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-10-23 Francesca Tavazza , Kamal Choudhary , Brian DeCost

Epistemic Uncertainty is a measure of the lack of knowledge of a learner which diminishes with more evidence. While existing work focuses on using the variance of the Bayesian posterior due to parameter uncertainty as a measure of epistemic…

Machine learning researchers have long noticed the phenomenon that the model training process will be more effective and efficient when the training samples are densely sampled around the underlying decision boundary. While this observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Honggang Yu , Shihfeng Zeng , Teng Zhang , Ing-Chao Lin , Yier Jin

The deep neural network has attained significant efficiency in image recognition. However, it has vulnerable recognition robustness under extensive data uncertainty in practical applications. The uncertainty is attributed to the inevitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Ruoxi Qin , Linyuan Wang , Xuehui Du , Xingyuan Chen , Bin Yan

We introduce a new information-theoretic formulation of quantum measurement uncertainty relations, based on the notion of relative entropy between measurement probabilities. In the case of a finite-dimensional system and for any approximate…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-03-02 Alberto Barchielli , Matteo Gregoratti , Alessandro Toigo

Deep neural networks are at the forefront of machine learning research. However, despite achieving impressive performance on complex tasks, they can be very sensitive: Small perturbations of inputs can be sufficient to induce incorrect…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Alex Serban , Erik Poll , Joost Visser

Uncertainty estimation for machine learning models is of high importance in many scenarios such as constructing the confidence intervals for model predictions and detection of out-of-distribution or adversarially generated points. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Kirill Fedyanin , Evgenii Tsymbalov , Maxim Panov

To ensure trust in AI models, it is becoming increasingly apparent that evaluation of models must be extended beyond traditional performance metrics, like accuracy, to other dimensions, such as fairness, explainability, adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Moninder Singh , Gevorg Ghalachyan , Kush R. Varshney , Reginald E. Bryant
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