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We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

A two-stage approach is proposed to overcome the problem in quantile regression, where separately fitted curves for several quantiles may cross. The standard Bayesian quantile regression model is applied in the first stage, followed by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 Thais Rodrigues , Yanan Fan

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

We derive streamlined mean field variational Bayes algorithms for fitting linear mixed models with crossed random effects. In the most general situation, where the dimensions of the crossed groups are arbitrarily large, streamlining is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Marianne Menictas , Gioia Di Credico , Matt P. Wand

In the sparse normal means model, convergence of the Bayesian posterior distribution associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Ismaël Castillo , Romain Mismer

We proposed a new penalized B-splines estimator, the general P-spline, to accommodate non-uniform B-splines on unevenly spaced knots. It is a complement to Eilers and Marx's standard P-spline tailored for uniform B-splines on equidistant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Zheyuan Li , Jiguo Cao

This article revisits the problem of Bayesian shape-restricted inference in the light of a recently developed approximate Gaussian process that admits an equivalent formulation of the shape constraints in terms of the basis coefficients. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Pallavi Ray , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

We consider the problem of computing the satisfaction probability of a formula for stochastic models with parametric uncertainty. We show that this satisfaction probability is a smooth function of the model parameters. This enables us to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Luca Bortolussi , Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti

In the present work, we discuss variational regularization for ill-posed nonlinear problems with focus on an oversmoothing penalty term. This means in our model that the searched-for solution of the considered nonlinear operator equation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-02 Robert Plato , Bernd Hofmann

Bayesian P-splines assume an intrinsic Gaussian Markov random field prior on the spline coefficients, conditional on a precision hyper-parameter $\tau$. Prior elicitation of $\tau$ is difficult. To overcome this issue we aim to building…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

We propose a statistical approach for estimating the mean line width in spectra comprising Lorentzian, Gaussian, or Voigt line shapes. Our approach uses Gaussian processes in two stages to jointly model a spectrum and its Fourier transform.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-27 Erik Kuitunen , Matthew T. Moores , Teemu Härkönen

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

A spline chaos expansion, referred to as SCE, is introduced for uncertainty quantification analysis. The expansion provides a means for representing an output random variable of interest with respect to multivariate orthonormal basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Sharif Rahman

We compare a recently proposed multivariate spline based on mixed partial derivatives with two other standard splines for the scattered data smoothing problem. The splines are defined as the minimiser of a penalised least squares…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Elizabeth Harris , Bishnu Lamichhane , Quoc Thong Le Gia

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

In this paper, we consider binary response models with linear quantile restrictions. Considerably generalizing previous research on this topic, our analysis focuses on an infinite collection of quantile estimators. We derive a uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-25 Stanislav Volgushev

In this work, we investigate Gaussian process regression used to recover a function based on noisy observations. We derive upper and lower error bounds for Gaussian process regression with possibly misspecified correlation functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Wenjia Wang , Bing-Yi Jing

We consider Bayesian inference of banded covariance matrices and propose a post-processed posterior. The post-processing of the posterior consists of two steps. In the first step, posterior samples are obtained from the conjugate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Kwangmin Lee , Kyoungjae Lee , Jaeyong Lee