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The number of modes in a probability density function is representative of the complexity of a model and can also be viewed as the number of subpopulations. Despite its relevance, there has been limited research in this area. A novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 José E. Chacón , Javier Fernández Serrano

Variational Bayes (VB) has become a widely-used tool for Bayesian inference in statistics and machine learning. Nonetheless, the development of the existing VB algorithms is so far generally restricted to the case where the variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Dang H. Nguyen , Duy Nguyen

This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Jianhua Z. Huang , Ya Su

Supremum norm loss is intuitively more meaningful to quantify function estimation error in statistics. In the context of multivariate nonparametric regression with unknown error, we propose a Bayesian procedure based on spike-and-slab prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-29 William Weimin Yoo , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We review definitions and properties of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces attached to Gaussian variables and processes, with a view to applications in nonparametric Bayesian statistics using Gaussian priors. The rate of contraction of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

State-space smoothing has found many applications in science and engineering. Under linear and Gaussian assumptions, smoothed estimates can be obtained using efficient recursions, for example Rauch-Tung-Striebel and Mayne-Fraser algorithms.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-27 A. Y. Aravkin , J. V. Burke , L. Ljung , A. Lozano , G. Pillonetto

Bayesian statistics is concerned with conducting posterior inference for the unknown quantities in a given statistical model. Conventional Bayesian inference requires the specification of a probabilistic model for the observed data, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Nott

We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian techniques for estimation and inference. In particular, to improve the prediction properties of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-12 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

This article develops a unified framework to study the asymptotic properties of all periodic spline-based estimators, that is, of regression, penalized and smoothing splines. The explicit form of the periodic Demmler-Reinsch basis in terms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Katsiaryna Schwarz , Tatyana Krivobokova

Regression for spatially dependent outcomes poses many challenges, for inference and for computation. Non-spatial models and traditional spatial mixed-effects models each have their advantages and disadvantages, making it difficult for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 John Hughes

This paper studies the statistical estimation of exact Wasserstein barycenters. Existing non-asymptotic results for empirical barycenters exhibit a severe curse of dimensionality. Motivated by the semi-dual formulation of the barycenter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Pengtao Li , Changbo Zhu , Xiaohui Chen

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper proposes the estimation of a smooth graphon model for network data analysis using principles of the EM algorithm. The approach considers both variability with respect to ordering the nodes of a network and smooth estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Benjamin Sischka , Göran Kauermann

This paper studies the problem of testing whether a function is monotone from a nonparametric Bayesian perspective. Two new families of tests are constructed. The first uses constrained smoothing splines, together with a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 James G. Scott , Thomas S. Shively , Stephen G. Walker

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of penalized spline estimates of derivatives. In particular, we show that simply differentiating the penalized spline estimator of the mean regression function itself to estimate the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Bright Antwi Boasiako , John Staudenmayer

While Gaussian processes are a mainstay for various engineering and scientific applications, the uncertainty estimates don't satisfy frequentist guarantees and can be miscalibrated in practice. State-of-the-art approaches for designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Alexandre Capone , Geoff Pleiss , Sandra Hirche

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

This work introduces and analyzes B-spline approximation spaces defined on general geometric domains obtained through a mapping from a parameter domain. These spaces are constructed as sparse-grid tensor products of univariate spaces in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Clément Guillet

A basis expansion with regularization methods is much appealing to the flexible or robust nonlinear regression models for data with complex structures. When the underlying function has inhomogeneous smoothness, it is well known that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Daeju Kim , Shuichi Kawano , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

The order of smoothness chosen in nonparametric estimation problems is critical. This choice balances the tradeoff between model parsimony and data overfitting. The most common approach used in this context is cross-validation. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Sujit Ghosh
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