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Parameter shrinkage applied optimally can always reduce error and projection variances from those of maximum likelihood estimation. Many variables that actuaries use are on numerical scales, like age or year, which require parameters at…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-22 Gary Venter , Şule Şahin

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

In the sparse normal means model, coverage of adaptive Bayesian posterior credible sets associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Ismael Castillo , Botond Szabo

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Gaussian Process regression is a kernel method successfully adopted in many real-life applications. Recently, there is a growing interest on extending this method to non-Euclidean input spaces, like the one considered in this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

A filament consists of local maximizers of a smooth function $f$ when moving in a certain direction. A filamentary structure is an important feature of the shape of an object and is also considered as an important lower dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Wei Li , Subhashis Ghosal

We investigate the small deviation probabilities of a class of very smooth stationary Gaussian processes playing an important role in Bayesian statistical inference. Our calculations are based on the appropriate modification of the entropy…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 F. Aurzada , I. A. Ibragimov , M. A. Lifshits , J. H. van Zanten

This paper presents a novel Bayesian strategy for the estimation of smooth signals corrupted by Gaussian noise. The method assumes a smooth evolution of a succession of continuous signals that can have a numerical or an analytical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-12 Abderrahim Halimi , Gerald S. Buller , Steve McLaughlin , Paul Honeine

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

Probabilistic smoothing is a standard tool for global optimization, but existing methods rely on Gaussian kernels and specific transforms, often resulting in strong hyperparameter sensitivity and limited robustness. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Kukyoung Jang , Taehyun Cho , Junrui Zhang , Ping Xu , Kyungjae Lee

A new efficient orthogonalization of the B-spline basis is proposed and contrasted with some previous orthogonalized methods. The resulting orthogonal basis of splines is best visualized as a net of functions rather than a sequence of them.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-24 Xijia Liu , Hiba Nassar , Krzysztof PodgÓrski

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

We consider continuous-time sparse stochastic processes from which we have only a finite number of noisy/noiseless samples. Our goal is to estimate the noiseless samples (denoising) and the signal in-between (interpolation problem). By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Arash Amini , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

A reciprocal LASSO (rLASSO) regularization employs a decreasing penalty function as opposed to conventional penalization approaches that use increasing penalties on the coefficients, leading to stronger parsimony and superior model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Himel Mallick , Rahim Alhamzawi , Erina Paul , Vladimir Svetnik

In areas such as kernel smoothing and non-parametric regression there is emphasis on smooth interpolation and smooth statistical models. Splines are known to have optimal smoothness properties in one and higher dimensions. It is shown, with…

Computation · Statistics 2008-09-29 Ron A. Bates , Hugo Maruri-Aguilar , Henry P. Wynn

A new method is proposed for variable screening, variable selection and prediction in linear regression problems where the number of predictors can be much larger than the number of observations. The method involves minimizing a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-14 D. Vasiliu , T. Dey , I. L. Dryden

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

The nonlinear energy response of cryogenic microcalorimeters is usually corrected through an empirical calibration. X-ray or gamma-ray emission lines of known shape and energy anchor a smooth function that generalizes the calibration data…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2022-08-23 J. W. Fowler , B. K. Alpert , G. C. O'Neil , D. S. Swetz , J. N. Ullom

Continuous-time state estimation is gaining in popularity due to its abilities to provide smooth solutions, handle asynchronous sensors, and interpolate between data points. While there are two main paradigms, parametric (e.g., temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Connor Holmes , Sven Lilge , Zi Cong Guo , Frank Dellaert , Timothy D. Barfoot

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter
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