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We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Stability and analysis of multi-agent network systems with state-dependent switching typologies have been a fundamental and longstanding challenge in control, social sciences, and many other related fields. These already complex systems…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-27 S. Rasoul Etesami

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

A heterogeneous continuous time random walk is an analytical formalism for studying and modeling diffusion processes in heterogeneous structures on microscopic and macroscopic scales. In this paper we study both analytically and numerically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 Liubov Tupikina , Denis S. Grebenkov

An efficient, reliable, and interpretable global solution method, the Deep learning-based algorithm for Heterogeneous Agent Models (DeepHAM), is proposed for solving high dimensional heterogeneous agent models with aggregate shocks. The…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-22 Jiequn Han , Yucheng Yang , Weinan E

Modeling power transmission networks is an important area of research with applications such as vulnerability analysis, study of cascading failures, and location of measurement devices. Graph-theoretic approaches have been widely used to…

Recent years have witnessed the emerging success of graph neural networks (GNNs) for modeling structured data. However, most GNNs are designed for homogeneous graphs, in which all nodes and edges belong to the same types, making them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Ziniu Hu , Yuxiao Dong , Kuansan Wang , Yizhou Sun

Understanding disaggregate channels in the transmission of monetary policy is of crucial importance for effectively implementing policy measures. We extend the empirical econometric literature on the role of production networks in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer

Dependency graph, as a heterogeneous graph representing the intrinsic relationships between different pairs of system entities, is essential to many data analysis applications, such as root cause diagnosis, intrusion detection, etc. Given a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Chen Luo , Zhengzhang Chen , Lu-An Tang , Anshumali Shrivastava , Zhichun Li

Employee turnover is a critical challenge in financial markets, yet little is known about the role of professional networks in shaping career moves. Using the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) public register (2007-2024), we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Abdulla AlKetbi , Patrick Yam , Gautier Marti , Raed Jaradat

This paper studies the dynamic generator model for spatial-temporal processes such as dynamic textures and action sequences in video data. In this model, each time frame of the video sequence is generated by a generator model, which is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-31 Jianwen Xie , Ruiqi Gao , Zilong Zheng , Song-Chun Zhu , Ying Nian Wu

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

Spoofing detection in financial trading is crucial, especially for identifying complex behaviors such as conspiracy spoofing. Traditional machine-learning approaches primarily focus on isolated node features, often overlooking the broader…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Sheng Xiang , Yidong Jiang , Yunting Chen , Dawei Cheng , Guoping Zhao , Changjun Jiang

In this paper, we tackle the problem of relational behavior forecasting from sensor data. Towards this goal, we propose a novel spatially-aware graph neural network (SpAGNN) that models the interactions between agents in the scene.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Sergio Casas , Cole Gulino , Renjie Liao , Raquel Urtasun

Dynamic interactions between entities are prevalent in domains like social platforms, financial systems, healthcare, and e-commerce. These interactions can be effectively represented as time-evolving graphs, where predicting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Sidharth Agarwal , Tanishq Dubey , Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (spatiotemporal E-GARCH) model, extending traditional spatiotemporal GARCH models by incorporating asymmetric volatility…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid

Chain Event Graphs (CEGs) are a family of event-based graphical models that represent context-specific conditional independences typically exhibited by asymmetric state space problems. The class of continuous time dynamic CEGs (CT-DCEGs)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Aditi Shenvi , Jim Q. Smith

Due to the complex and changing interactions in dynamic scenarios, motion forecasting is a challenging problem in autonomous driving. Most existing works exploit static road graphs to characterize scenarios and are limited in modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Xing Gao , Xiaogang Jia , Yikang Li , Hongkai Xiong

Temporal graphs represent the dynamic relationships among entities and occur in many real life application like social networks, e commerce, communication, road networks, biological systems, and many more. They necessitate research beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

Dynamic network analysis has found an increasing interest in the literature because of the importance of different kinds of dynamic social networks, biological networks, and economic networks. Most available probability and statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Elynn Yi Chen , Rong Chen
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