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Accurate long series forecasting of traffic information is critical for the development of intelligent traffic systems. We may benefit from the rapid growth of neural network analysis technology to better understand the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Ruikang Luo , Yaofeng Song , Liping Huang , Yicheng Zhang , Rong Su

Recent research on social contagion processes has revealed the limitations of traditional networks, which capture only pairwise relationships, to characterize complex multiparty relationships and group influences properly. Social contagion…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Lidan Liang , Shaoxuan Cui , Fangzhou Liu

In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of spreading processes taking place over time-varying networks. A common approach to model time-varying networks is via Markovian random graph processes. This modeling approach presents the following…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

At online retail platforms, detecting fraudulent accounts and transactions is crucial to improve customer experience, minimize loss, and avoid unauthorized transactions. Despite the variety of different models for deep learning on graphs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Susie Xi Rao , Clémence Lanfranchi , Shuai Zhang , Zhichao Han , Zitao Zhang , Wei Min , Mo Cheng , Yinan Shan , Yang Zhao , Ce Zhang

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

Analyzing real data on international trade covering the time interval 1950-2000, we show that in each year over the analyzed period the network is a typical representative of the ensemble of maximally random weighted networks, whose…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

We develop new algorithms for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, combining recent developments in transfer learning for neural networks with insights from the causal inference literature. By taking advantage of transfer learning,…

Network autocorrelation models are widely used to evaluate the impact of social influence on some variable of interest. This is a large class of models that parsimoniously accounts for how one's neighbors influence one's own behaviors or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Daniel K. Sewell

An effective understanding of the contextual environment and accurate motion forecasting of surrounding agents is crucial for the development of autonomous vehicles and social mobile robots. This task is challenging since the behavior of an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Defu Cao , Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka

The widespread application of Electronic Health Records (EHR) data in the medical field has led to early successes in disease risk prediction using deep learning methods. These methods typically require extensive data for training due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Shibo Li , Hengliang Cheng , Weihua Li

This work investigates the problem of multi-agents trajectory prediction. Prior approaches lack of capability of capturing fine-grained dependencies among coordinated agents. In this paper, we propose a spatial-temporal trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Ding Ding , H. Howie Huang

Restless multi-armed bandits are often used to model budget-constrained resource allocation tasks where receipt of the resource is associated with an increased probability of a favorable state transition. Prior work assumes that individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Christine Herlihy , John P. Dickerson

Relational event network data are becoming increasingly available. Consequently, statistical models for such data have also surfaced. These models mainly focus on the analysis of single networks, while in many applications, multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Fabio Vieira , Roger Leenders , Daniel McFarland , Joris Mulder

The availability of data on economic uncertainty sparked a lot of interest in models that can timely quantify episodes of international spillovers of uncertainty. This challenging task involves trading off estimation accuracy for more…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-07 Niels Gillmann , Ostap Okhrin

Global trade of material goods involves the potential to create pathways for the spread of infectious pathogens. One trade sector in which this synergy is clearly critical is that of wildlife trade networks. This highly complex system…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-10 John S. McAlister , Jesse L. Brunner , Danielle J. Galvin , Nina H. Fefferman

The influence model is a discrete-time stochastic model that succinctly captures the interactions of a network of Markov chains. The model produces a reduced-order representation of the stochastic network, and can be used to describe and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Chenyuan He , Yan Wan , Frank L. Lewis

Reciprocity, or the stochastic tendency for actors to form mutual relationships, is an essential characteristic of directed network data. Existing latent space approaches to modeling directed networks are severely limited by the assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-28 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Xiangyu Wu , Jonathan R. Stewart

Over the past few years, research on deep graph learning has shifted from static graphs to temporal graphs in response to real-world complex systems that exhibit dynamic behaviors. In practice, temporal graphs are formalized as an ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jintang Li , Ruofan Wu , Xinzhou Jin , Boqun Ma , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng

Network data often arises via a series of structured interactions among a population of constituent elements. E-mail exchanges, for example, have a single sender followed by potentially multiple receivers. Scientific articles, on the other…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-30 Walter Dempsey , Brandon Oselio , Alfred Hero

Undirected, binary network data consist of indicators of symmetric relations between pairs of actors. Regression models of such data allow for the estimation of effects of exogenous covariates on the network and for prediction of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-29 Frank W. Marrs , Bailey K. Fosdick