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Exchange of resources among individual components of a system is fundamental to systems like a social network of humans and a network of cities and villages. For various reasons, the human society has come up with the notion of money as a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Harshit Agrawal , Ashwin Lahorkar , Snehal M. Shekatkar

Swarms, such as schools of fish or drone formations, are prevalent in both natural and engineered systems. While previous works have focused on the social interactions within swarms, the role of external perturbations--such as environmental…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Jonathan Karin , Zoe Piran , Mor Nitzan

Modeling and predicting temporal point processes (TPPs) is critical in domains such as neuroscience, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. We introduce the Spiking Dynamic Graph Network (SDGN), a novel framework that leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Biswadeep Chakraborty , Hemant Kumawat , Beomseok Kang , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

We introduce the hyperedge event model (HEM)---a generative model for events that can be represented as directed edges with one sender and one or more receivers or one receiver and one or more senders. We integrate a dynamic version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Bomin Kim , Aaron Schein , Bruce A. Desmarais , Hanna Wallach

A novel spatial autoregressive model for panel data is introduced, which incorporates multilayer networks and accounts for time-varying relationships. Moreover, the proposed approach allows the structural variance to evolve smoothly over…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-27 Michele Costola , Matteo Iacopini , Casper Wichers

Network representation learning has exploded recently. However, existing studies usually reconstruct networks as sequences or matrices, which may cause information bias or sparsity problem during model training. Inspired by a cognitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Jie Bai , Linjing Li , Daniel Zeng

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks have proven efficacy in capturing complex dependencies for urban computing tasks such as forecasting and kriging. Yet, their performance is constrained by the reliance on extensive data for training on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Junfeng Hu , Xu Liu , Zhencheng Fan , Yifang Yin , Shili Xiang , Savitha Ramasamy , Roger Zimmermann

Conventional modelling of networks evolving in time focuses on capturing variations in the network structure. However, the network might be static from the origin or experience only deterministic, regulated changes in its structure,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Anna Malinovskaya , Rebecca Killick , Kathryn Leeming , Philipp Otto

Understanding how individual learning behavior and structural dynamics interact is essential to modeling emergent phenomena in socioeconomic networks. While bounded rationality and network adaptation have been widely studied, the role of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-29 Chanuka Karavita , Zehua Lyu , Dharshana Kasthurirathna , Mahendra Piraveenan

A growing number of applications involve settings where, in order to infer heterogeneous effects, a researcher compares various units. Examples of research designs include children moving between different neighborhoods, workers moving…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-03 Stephane Bonhomme , Angela Denis

Crime prediction is crucial for public safety and resource optimization, yet is very challenging due to two aspects: i) the dynamics of criminal patterns across time and space, crime events are distributed unevenly on both spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Peng Dai , Liefeng Bo , Xiyue Zhang , Tianyi Chen

Interaction graphs, such as those recording emails between individuals or transactions between institutions, tend to be sparse yet structured, and often grow in an unbounded manner. Such behavior can be well-captured by structured,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Elahe Ghalebi , Hamidreza Mahyar , Radu Grosu , Graham W. Taylor , Sinead A. Williamson

Empirical studies suggest that contact patterns follow heterogeneous inter-event times, meaning that intervals of high activity are followed by periods of inactivity. Combined with birth and death of individuals, these temporal constraints…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Vincent D. Blondel

This work presents a framework for studying temporal networks using zigzag persistence, a tool from the field of Topological Data Analysis (TDA). The resulting approach is general and applicable to a wide variety of time-varying graphs. For…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Audun Myers , David Muñoz , Firas Khasawneh , Elizabeth Munch

Jointly modeling and forecasting economic and financial variables across a large set of countries has long been a significant challenge. Two primary approaches have been utilized to address this issue: the vector autoregressive model with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Sanyou Wu , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Long Feng

Spatio-temporal processes often exhibit highly heterogeneous and non-intuitive responses to localized disruptions, limiting the effectiveness of conventional message passing approaches in modeling local heterogeneity. We reformulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Abeer Mostafa , Raneen Younis , Zahra Ahmadi

The integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into wholesale electricity markets, as mandated by FERC Order 2222, imposes new challenges on system operations. To remain consistent with existing market structures, regional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-13 Zhentong Shao , Jingtao Qin , Xianbang Chen , Nanpeng Yu

Contacts between individuals serve as pathways where infections may propagate. These contact patterns can be represented by network structures. Static structures have been the common modeling paradigm but recent results suggest that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Adeline Decuyper , Vincent D Blondel

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

This paper proposes a time-zone vector autoregression (VAR) model to investigate comovements in the global financial market. Analyzing daily data from 36 national equity markets, we explore the subprime and European debt crises using static…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-10 Boyao Wu , Difang Huang , Muzi Chen
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