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The antibody repertoire of each individual is continuously updated by the evolutionary process of B cell receptor mutation and selection. It has recently become possible to gain detailed information concerning this process through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-11 Connor O. McCoy , Trevor Bedford , Vladimir N. Minin , Philip Bradley , Harlan Robins , Frederick A. Matsen

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables statistical inference in simulator-based models whose likelihoods are difficult to calculate but easy to simulate from. ABC constructs a kernel-type approximation to the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Yuexi Wang , Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Ročková

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Mechanisms of immunity, and of the host-pathogen interactions in general are among the most fundamental problems of medicine, ecology, and evolution studies. Here, we present a microscopic, protein-level, sequence-based model of immune…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-22 Muyoung Heo , Konstantin B. Zeldovich , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are increasingly used for inference in situations in which the likelihood function is either computationally costly or intractable to evaluate. Extensions of the basic ABC rejection algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-01 Umberto Simola , Jessica Cisewski-Kehe , Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

Computer modelling for evolutionary systems consists in: 1) to store in the memory the individual features of each member of a large population; and 2) to update the whole system repeatedly, as time goes by, according to some prescribed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paulo Murilo Castro de Oliveira

In this paper we develop and test algorithmic techniques to estimate genotypes fitnesses by analysis of observed daily frequency data monitoring the long-term evolution of bacterial populations. In particular, we develop a non-linear least…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-05 Sergey S. Sarkisov , Ilya Timofeyev , Robert Azencott

We present a statistical model of bacterial evolution based on the coupling between codon usage and tRNA abundance. Such a model interprets this aspect of the evolutionary process as a balance between the codon homogenization effect due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Franco Bagnoli , Pietro Lio'

We consider population dynamics as implemented by the cloning algorithm for analysis of large deviations of time-averaged quantities. Using the simple symmetric exclusion process as a prototypical example, we investigate the convergence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-11 Tobias Brewer , Stephen R. Clark , Russell Bradford , Robert L. Jack

We address the problem of parameter estimation in models of systems biology from noisy observations. The models we consider are characterized by simultaneous deterministic nonlinear differential equations whose parameters are either taken…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Xin Liu , Mahesan Niranjan

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

One of the key phenomena in the adaptive immune response to infection and immunization is affinity maturation, during which antibody genes are mutated and selected, typically resulting in a substantial increase in binding affinity to the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-05 Thomas B. Kepler

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) for certain classes of time series models. In particular, we focus upon scenarios where the likelihoods of the observations and parameter are intractable, by which…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-03 Ajay Jasra

A punctuated equilibrium model of biological evolution with relative fitness between different species being the fundamental driving force of evolution is introduced. Mutation is modeled as a fitness updating cellular automaton process…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 H. F. Chau , L. Mak , P. K. Kwok

Sequential techniques can enhance the efficiency of the approximate Bayesian computation algorithm, as in Sisson et al.'s (2007) partial rejection control version. While this method is based upon the theoretical works of Del Moral et al.…

Computation · Statistics 2010-10-11 Mark A. Beaumont , Jean-Marie Cornuet , Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert

Recent progress in genetic techniques has shed light on the complex co-evolution of malignant cell clones in leukemias. However, several aspects of clonal selection still remain unclear. In this paper, we present a multi-compartmental…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Tommaso Lorenzi , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Thomas Stiehl

We considered a {multi-block} molecular model of biological evolution, in which fitness is a function of the mean types of alleles located at different parts (blocks) of the genome. We formulated an infinite population model with selection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 David B. Saakian , Zara Kirakosyan , Chin-Kun Hu

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models offer a rich framework for model based clustering. We consider the situation where the kernel of the mixture is available only up to an intractable normalizing constant. In this case, most of the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-21 Mario Beraha , Riccardo Corradin

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

A central feature of vertebrate immune response is affinity maturation, wherein antibody-producing B cells undergo evolutionary selection in microanatomical structures called germinal centers, which form in secondary lymphoid organs upon…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-15 Bertrand Ottino-Loffler , Gabriel Victora