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This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are applied to multi-level Finite Element (FE) discretizations of elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with a random coefficient, to estimate expected values of linear functionals of the solution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-16 Frances Y. Kuo , Christoph Schwab , Ian H. Sloan

A novel probabilistic numerical method for quantifying the uncertainty induced by the time integration of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is introduced. Departing from the classical strategy to randomize ODE solvers by adding a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani

We present a novel variant of the multi-level Monte Carlo method that effectively utilizes a reserved computational budget on a high-performance computing system to minimize the mean squared error. Our approach combines concepts of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Niklas Baumgarten , Sebastian Krumscheid , Christian Wieners

We introduce a class of second order backward stochastic differential equations and show relations to fully non-linear parabolic PDEs. In particular, we provide a stochastic representation result for solutions of such PDEs and discuss Monte…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrick Cheridito , H. Mete Soner , Nizar Touzi , Nicolas Victoir

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of techniques to sample approximately from any sequence of probability distributions using a combination of importance sampling and resampling steps. This paper is concerned with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Ajay Jasra

In this work, in order to obtain higher-order schemes for solving forward backward stochastic differential equations, we adopt the high-order multi-step method in [W. Zhao, Y. Fu and T. Zhou, SIAM J. Sci. Comput., 36(4) (2014),…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Long Teng , Weidong Zhao

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

This paper provides a framework in which multilevel Monte Carlo and continuous level Monte Carlo can be compared. In continuous level Monte Carlo the level of refinement is determined by an exponentially distributed random variable, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Cedric Aaron Beschle , Andrea Barth

We present the Wavelet-based Edge Multiscale Parareal (WEMP) Algorithm, recently proposed in [Li and Hu, {\it J. Comput. Phys.}, 2021], for efficiently solving subdiffusion equations with heterogeneous coefficients in long time. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Guanglian Li

By decomposing the important sampled imaginary time Schr\"odinger evolution operator to fourth order with positive coefficients, we derived a number of distinct fourth order Diffusion Monte Carlo algorithms. These sophisticated algorithms…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-06 Harald A. Forbert , Siu A. Chin

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has proven to be an effective variance-reduction statistical method for Uncertainty quantification in PDE models. It combines approximations at different levels of accuracy using a hierarchy of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-28 Santiago Badia , Jerrad Hampton , Javier Principe

Monte Carlo methods are widely used in particle physics to integrate and sample probability distributions (differential cross sections or decay rates) on multi-dimensional phase spaces. We present a Neural Network (NN) algorithm optimized…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Matthew D. Klimek , Maxim Perelstein

We propose in this paper the Wavelet-based Edge Multiscale Parareal (WEMP) Algorithm to efficiently solve parabolic equations with heterogeneous coefficients. This algorithm combines the advantages of multiscale methods that can deal with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Guanglian Li , Jiuhua Hu

Computing systems interacting with real-world processes must safely and reliably process uncertain data. The Monte Carlo method is a popular approach for computing with such uncertain values. This article introduces a framework for…

How to build an accurate reduced order model (ROM) for multidimensional time dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) is quite open. In this paper, we propose a new ROM for linear parabolic PDEs. We prove that our new method can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Noel Walkington , Franziska Weber , Yangwen Zhang

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

In this article we consider recursive approximations of the smoothing distribution associated to partially observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are observed discretely in time. Such models appear in a wide variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-15 Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra , Sumeetpal S. Singh
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