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Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

It is shown that superefficient Monte Carlo computations can be carried out by using chaotic dynamical systems as non-uniform random-number generators. Here superefficiency means that the expectation value of the square of the error…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Ken Umeno

We focus here on a class of fourth-order parabolic equations that can be written as a system of second-order equations by introducing an auxiliary variable. We design a novel second-order fully discrete mixed finite element method to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Sana Keita , Abdelaziz Beljadid , Yves Bourgault

We give a probabilistic interpretation of the Monte Carlo scheme proposed by Fahim, Touzi and Warin [Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011) 1322-1364] for fully nonlinear parabolic PDEs, and hence generalize it to the path-dependent (or…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Xiaolu Tan

We introduce a new strategy for coupling the parallel in time (parareal) iterative methodology with multiscale integrators. Following the parareal framework, the algorithm computes a low-cost approximation of all slow variables in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Gil Ariel , Seong Jun Kim , Richard Tsai

We describe parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that propagate a collective ensemble of paths, with local covariance information calculated from neighboring replicas. The use of collective dynamics eliminates multiplicative noise and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-15 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare , Benedict Leimkuhler

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

We develop a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC)-FEM algorithm for linear, elliptic diffusion problems in polytopal domain $\mathcal D\subset \mathbb R^d$, with Besov-tree random coefficients. This is to say that the logarithms of the diffusion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Christoph Schwab , Andreas Stein

Recent work has suggested using Monte Carlo methods based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) to sample from target distributions of interest. PDMPs are non-reversible continuous-time processes endowed with momentum, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-28 Paul Fearnhead , Sebastiano Grazzi , Chris Nemeth , Gareth O. Roberts

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating summary statistics to characterise biochemical reaction networks of interest. Such networks are often described using the framework of the Chemical Master Equation (CME). For…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-27 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are a powerful and commonly used family of numerical methods for sampling from complex probability distributions. As applications of these methods increase in size and complexity, the need for efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Colin Cotter , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a well-established family of algorithms primarily used in Bayesian statistics to sample from a target distribution when direct sampling is challenging. Existing work on Bayesian decision trees uses MCMC.…

Computation · Statistics 2023-01-24 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Paul G. Spirakis , Simon Maskell

We consider the problem of numerically estimating expectations of solutions to stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions in the commonly occurring small noise regime. We consider (i) standard Monte Carlo methods combined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-08 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo simulation method for analysing multi-scale physical systems via a hierarchy of coarse-grained representations, to obtain numerically-exact results, at the most detailed level. We apply the method to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-04 Paul B. Rohrbach , Hideki Kobayashi , Robert Scheichl , Nigel B. Wilding , Robert L. Jack

We survey old and new results about optimal algorithms for summation of finite sequences and for integration of functions from Hoelder or Sobolev spaces. First we discuss optimal deterministic and randomized algorithms. Then we add a new…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 S. Heinrich , E. Novak

We develop a new spatial semidiscrete multiscale method based upon the edge multiscale methods to solve semilinear parabolic problems with heterogeneous coefficients and smooth initial data. This method allows for a cheap spatial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Leonardo A. Poveda , Shubin Fu , Guanglian Li , Eric Chung

This paper considers the classical problem of sampling with Monte Carlo methods a target rare event distribution defined by a score function that is very expensive to compute. We assume we can build using evaluations of the true score, an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-25 Frédéric Cérou , Patrick Héas , Mathias Rousset

Equilibrium sampling of the configuration space in disordered systems requires algorithms that bypass the glassy slowing down of the physical dynamics. Irreversible Monte Carlo algorithms breaking detailed balance successfully accelerate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-07-15 Federico Ghimenti , Ludovic Berthier , Frédéric van Wijland

Recently a new class of Monte Carlo methods, called Time Relaxed Monte Carlo (TRMC), designed for the simulation of the Boltzmann equation close to fluid regimes have been introduced. A generalized Wild sum expansion of the solution is at…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-09-16 L. Pareschi , S. Trazzi , B. Wennberg
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