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The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

The concept of "stochastic precedence" between two real-valued random variables has often emerged in different applied frameworks. In this paper we consider a slightly more general, and completely natural, concept of stochastic precedence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Fantozzi , Fabio Spizzichino

We develop a method that relates the truncated cumulant-function of the fourth order with the L\'evian cumulant-function. This gives us explicit formulas for the L\'evy-parameters, which allow a real-time analysis of the state of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Alexander Jurisch

We consider a new family of $\R^d$-valued L\'{e}vy processes that we call Lamperti stable. One of the advantages of this class is that the law of many related functionals can be computed explicitely (see for instance \cite{cc}, \cite{ckp},…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-06 M. E. Caballero , J. C. Pardo , J. L. Pérez

The topic of this manuscript is the stability analysis of continuous-time switched nonlinear systems with constraints on the admissible switching signals. Our particular focus lies in considering signals characterized by upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Matteo Della Rossa

We consider asset price models whose dynamics are described by linear functions of the (time extended) signature of a primary underlying process, which can range from a (market-inferred) Brownian motion to a general multidimensional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-28 Christa Cuchiero , Guido Gazzani , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

We introduce a general theory on stationary approximations for locally stationary continuous-time processes. Based on the stationary approximation, we use $\theta$-weak dependence to establish laws of large numbers and central limit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

The objective of the paper is to price weather contracts using temperature as the underlying process when the later follows a mean-reverting dynamics driven by a time-changed Brownian motion coupled to a Gamma Levy subordinator and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-01 Pablo Olivares

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

Mechanistic modelling of animal movement is often formulated in discrete time despite problems with scale invariance, such as handling irregularly timed observations. A natural solution is to formulate in continuous time, yet uptake of this…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-19 Alison Parton , Paul G. Blackwell

In this paper, we study the L\'evy process time-changed by independent L\'evy subordinators, namely, the incomplete gamma subordinator, the $\epsilon$-jumps incomplete gamma subordinator and tempered incomplete gamma subordinator. We derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Meena Sanjay Babulal , Sunil Kumar Gauttam , Aditya Maheshwari

In this paper we consider storage and inventory systems. Our aim is to apply and review main results of the fluctuation theory of stochastic processes in the context of storage and inventory modeling. We describe systems where the inflow is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Zbigniew Michna , Wojciech Bombała , Peter Nielsen

In this paper we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to a class of partially observed stochastic differential equations (SDE) driven by jump processes. Such type of models can be routinely found in applications, of which we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-03 Mohamed Maama , Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani

This paper deals with the robust stability analysis of linear systems, subject to time-varying parameters. The Parameter Dependent Lyapunov Function are considered, assuming that the temporal derivative of the parameters are bounded. Some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 L. A. Mozelli , R. L. S. Adriano

Recently, various models have been developed, including the fractional Brownian motion (fBm), to analyse the stochastic properties of geodetic time series, together with the extraction of geophysical signals. The noise spectrum of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-18 J. P. Montillet , X. He , K. Yu

We establish results for the first sensitivity analysis of the stochastic fluid models (SFMs). We derive expressions for the sensitivity analysis of the key stationary and transient (time-dependent) quantities of this class of models. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Anna Aksamit , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly , Zbigniew Palmowski

In the present paper, we obtain an explicit product formula for products of multiple integrals w.r.t. a random measure associated with a L\'evy process. As a building block, we use a representation formula for products of martingales from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Paolo Di Tella , Christel Geiss , Alexander Steinicke

Switching ARMA models greatly enhance the standard linear models to the extent that different ARMA model is allowed in a different regime, and the regime switching is typically assumed a Markov chain on the finite states of potential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gopal K. Basak , Zhan-Qian Lu

This paper studies the optimal multiple-stopping problem arising in the context of the timing option to withdraw from a project in stages. The profits are driven by a general spectrally negative Levy process. This allows the model to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Kazutoshi Yamazaki
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