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The financial crisis has dramatically demonstrated that the traditional approach to apply univariate monetary risk measures to single institutions does not capture sufficiently the perilous systemic risk that is generated by the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-27 Francesca Biagini , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Marco Frittelli , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

A reaction-diffusion model which is called the field-road model was introduced by Berestycki, Roquejoffre and Rossi [9] to describe biological invasion with fast diffusion on a line. In this paper, we investigate this model in a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Mingmin Zhang

We propose a spreading model in multilayer networks and study the nature of nonequilibrium phase transition in the model. The model integrates the susceptible-infected-susceptible (or susceptible-infected-recovered) spreading dynamics with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-01 Ningbo An , Hanshuang Chen , Chuang Ma , Haifeng Zhang

In this paper we analyze the resilience of a network of banks to joint price fluctuations of the external assets in which they have shared exposures, and evaluate the worst-case effects of the possible default contagion. Indeed, when the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton Proskurnikov

Stochastic processes, in the form of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), integrate stochastic elements to account for the inherent randomness in sediment particle trajectories in an open-channel turbulent flow. Accordingly, a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-06 Manotosh Kumbhakar , Christina W. Tsai

We study mean-field inclusion processes with an additional slow phase, in which particle interactions occur at a vanishing rate proportional to the inverse system size. In the thermodynamic limit, such systems exhibit condensation at high…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Simon Gabriel

In this paper, we first propose a diffusive pathogen infection model with general incidence rate which incorporates cell-to-cell transmission. By applying the theory of monotone dynamical systems, we prove that the model admits the global…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Shohel Ahmed

Propagation of balance-sheet or cash-flow insolvency across financial institutions may be modeled as a cascade process on a network representing their mutual exposures. We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Hamed Amini , Rama Cont , Andreea Minca

We propose a framework to perform Bayesian inference using conditional score-based diffusion models to solve a class of inverse problems in mechanics involving the inference of a specimen's spatially varying material properties from noisy…

The purpose of this paper is to advance the understanding of the conditions that give rise to flash crash contagion, particularly with respect to overlapping asset portfolio crowding. To this end, we designed, implemented, and assessed a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-01 James Paulin , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

The present paper provides a multi-period contagion model in the credit risk field. Our model is an extension of Davis and Lo's infectious default model. We consider an economy of n firms which may default directly or may be infected by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-01 Didier Rullière , Diana Dorobantu , Areski Cousin

Using particle system methodologies we study the propagation of financial distress in a network of firms facing credit risk. We investigate the phenomenon of a credit crisis and quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-04 Paolo Dai Pra , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier , Elena Sartori , Marco Tolotti

We propose a mean-field model for describing the averaged properties of a class of stochastic diffusion-limited growth systems. We then show that this model exhibits a morphology transition from a dense-branching structure with a convex…

patt-sol · Physics 2009-10-28 Yuhai Tu , Herbert Levine

We consider systems of diffusion processes ("particles") interacting through their ranks (also referred to as "rank-based models" in the mathematical finance literature). We show that, as the number of particles becomes large, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Praveen Kolli , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Zhi-An Wang

We study binary state contagion dynamics on a social network where nodes act in response to the average state of their neighborhood. We model the competing tendencies of imitation and non-conformity by incorporating an off-threshold into…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-13 Kameron Decker Harris

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a fundamental tool for modelling dynamic processes, including gene regulatory networks (GRNs), contaminant transport, financial markets, and image generation. However, learning the underlying SDE…

Deterministic models of vegetation often summarize, at a macroscopic scale, a multitude of intrinsically random events occurring at a microscopic scale. We bridge the gap between these scales by demonstrating convergence to a mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

A series of recent articles introduced a method to construct stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) which are invariant with respect to the distribution of a given conditioned diffusion. These works are restricted to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-08 Martin Hairer , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss

We consider a special class of mean field SDEs with common noise which depend on the image of the solution (i.e. the conditional distribution given noise). The strong well-posedness is derived under a monotone condition which is weaker than…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Feng-Yu Wang
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