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We establish a general framework using a diffusion approximation to simulate forward-in-time state counts or frequencies for cladogenetic state-dependent speciation-extinction (ClaSSE) models. We apply the framework to various two- and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-26 Albert C. Soewongsono , Michael J. Landis

We study a large deviation principle for a system of stochastic reaction--diffusion equations (SRDEs) with a separation of fast and slow components and small noise in the slow component. The derivation of the large deviation principle is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Wenqing Hu , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The proposed BSDE-based diffusion model represents a novel approach to diffusion modeling, which extends the application of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in machine learning. Unlike traditional SDE-based diffusion models, our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Zihao Wang

How, and to what extent, does an interconnected financial system endogenously amplify external shocks? This paper attempts to reconcile some apparently different views emerged after the 2008 crisis regarding the nature and the relevance of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Gabriele Visentin , Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico

Networked-guarantee loans may cause the systemic risk related concern of the government and banks in China. The prediction of default of enterprise loans is a typical extremely imbalanced prediction problem, and the networked-guarantee make…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Dawei Cheng , Zhibin Niu , Yi Tu , Liqing Zhang

We study the well-posedness of a nonlinear reaction diffusion partial differential equation system on the half-line coupled with a stochastic dynamical boundary condition, a random system arising from the description of the chemical…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Mario Maurelli , Daniela Morale , Stefania Ugolini

As it is known in the finance risk and macroeconomics literature, risk-sharing in large portfolios may increase the probability of creation of default clusters and of systemic risk. We review recent developments on mathematical and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Elaborating on the model from voter process with mixed-mechanism under suitable scaling, I have two new mechanisms which are random switch and unbiased local Homogenization and subtly biased advantage but with state dependent coefficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Tong Zhao

We propose and study a new model to describe biological invasions constrained on infinite homogeneous one dimensional metric graphs. Our model consists of an infinite PDE-ODE system where, at each vertex of the one-dimensional lattice…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Grégory Faye , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Min Zhao

An implicit Euler finite-volume scheme for general cross-diffusion systems with volume-filling constraints is proposed and analyzed. The diffusion matrix may be nonsymmetric and not positive semidefinite, but the diffusion system is assumed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Ansgar Jüngel , Antoine Zurek

This work is devoted to examining qualitative properties of dynamic systems, in particular, limit cycles of stochastic differential equations with both rapid switching and small diffusion. The systems are featured by multi-scale…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Dang H. Nguyen , Nguyen H. Du , George Yin

In this paper, we use a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) as a model for the density of a population under the influence of random external forces/stimuli given by the environment. We study statistical properties for two…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Francisco Delgado-Vences , Liliana Peralta

We consider a cross-diffusion system for which the diffusion of each species is governed solely by the aggregate density through a pressure law of logarithmic or fast diffusion type. The model is set over a one dimensional bounded interval,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Alpár R. Mészáros , Guy Parker

The study of systemic risk is often presented through the analysis of several measures referring to quantities used by practitioners and policy makers. Almost invariably, those measures evaluate the size of the impact that exogenous events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-13 Luka Klinčić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli , Hrvoje Štefančić

In the nonlinear diffusion framework, stochastic processes of McKean-Vlasov type play an important role. In some cases they correspond to processes attracted by their own probability distribution: the so-called self-stabilizing processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Samuel Herrmann , Julian Tugaut

This paper develops the Jungle model in a credit portfolio framework. The Jungle model is able to model credit contagion, produce doubly-peaked probability distributions for the total default loss and endogenously generate quasi phase…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-02 J. Molins , E. Vives

Many natural phenomena are effectively described by interacting particle systems, which can be modeled using either deterministic or stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In this study, we specifically investigate particle systems…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-01 Christian Kuehn , Carlos Pulido

We consider the linear field-road system, a model for fast diffusion channels in population dynamics and ecology. This system takes the form of a system of PDEs set on domains of different dimensions, with exchange boundary conditions.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Matthieu Alfaro , Romain Ducasse , Samuel Tréton

This paper develops a dynamic monetary model to study the (in)stability of the fractional reserve banking system. The model shows that the fractional reserve banking system can endanger stability in that equilibrium is more prone to exhibit…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-18 Heon Lee

Mean field approximation is a powerful technique to study the performance of large stochastic systems represented as $n$ interacting objects. Applications include load balancing models, epidemic spreading, cache replacement policies, or…

Performance · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Sebastian Allmeier , Nicolas Gast