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We study the Sine$_\beta$ process introduced in [B. Valk\'o and B. Vir\'ag. Invent. math. (2009)] when the inverse temperature $\beta$ tends to 0. This point process has been shown to be the scaling limit of the eigenvalues point process in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Romain Allez , Laure Dumaz

We consider an acyclic network of single-server queues with heterogeneous processing rates. It is assumed that each queue is fed by the superposition of a large number of i.i.d. Gaussian processes with stationary increments and positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Martin Zubeldia , Michel Mandjes

This paper proposes Incremental Seeded Expectation Maximization, an algorithm that improves upon the traditional Expectation Maximization computational flow for clusterwise or finite mixture linear regression tasks. The proposed method…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-08 Ye Chow Kuang , Melanie Ooi

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the volume of the excursion set of a function $f:\mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}$ above a given threshold, under a probability measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$ that is assumed to be known. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-26 Julien Bect , David Ginsbourger , Ling Li , Victor Picheny , Emmanuel Vazquez

Despite the ubiquity of the Gaussian process regression model, few theoretical results are available that account for the fact that parameters of the covariance kernel typically need to be estimated from the dataset. This article provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Toni Karvonen , George Wynne , Filip Tronarp , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be independent variables, each having a normal distribution with negative mean $-\beta<0$ and variance 1. We consider the partial sums $S_n=X_1+...+X_n$, with $S_0=0$, and refer to the process $\{S_n:n\geq0\}$ as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. J. E. M. Janssen , J. S. H. van Leeuwaarden

We consider a specific random graph which serves as a disordered medium for a particle performing biased random walk. Take a two-sided infinite horizontal ladder and pick a random spanning tree with a certain edge weight $c$ for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Nina Gantert , Achim Klenke

Let $\pa{X_{t}}_{t\in T}$ be a family of real-valued centered random variables indexed by a countable set $T$. In the first part of this paper, we establish exponential bounds for the deviation probabilities of the supremum $Z=\sup_{t\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Yannick Baraud

We analyze the problem of stochastic optimal control of SDEs where the driver includes a self-exciting stochastic process. Due to the non-Markovian nature of the problem, we apply the stochastic maximum principle approach. We derive a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Heidar Eyjolfsson , Kristina Rognlien Dahl

Slepian and Sudakov-Fernique type inequalities, which compare expectations of maxima of Gaussian random vectors under certain restrictions on the covariance matrices, play an important role in probability theory, especially in empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-15 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

For a given finite set $\Sigma$ of matrices with nonnegative integer entries we study the growth of $$ \max_t(\Sigma) = \max\{\|A_{1}... A_{t}\|: A_i \in \Sigma\}.$$ We show how to determine in polynomial time whether the growth with $t$ is…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Raphaël Jungers , Vladimir Protasov , Vincent D. Blondel

We obtain an optimal bound for a Gaussian approximation of a large class of vector-valued random processes. Our results provide a substantial generalization of earlier results that assume independence and/or stationarity. Based on the decay…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper we consider the problem of finding stable maxima of expensive (to evaluate) functions. We are motivated by the optimisation of physical and industrial processes where, for some input ranges, small and unavoidable variations in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-22 Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh , Majid Abdolshah , Dang Nguyen

We design efficient approximation algorithms for maximizing the expectation of the supremum of families of Gaussian random variables. In particular, let $\mathrm{OPT}:=\max_{\sigma_1,\cdots,\sigma_n}\mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{j=1}^{m}\max_{i\in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Renato Purita Paes Leme , Cliff Stein , Yifeng Teng , Pratik Worah

We discuss the statistical properties of a recently introduced unbiased stochastic approximation to the score equations for maximum likelihood calculation for Gaussian processes. Under certain conditions, including bounded condition number…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-11 Michael L. Stein , Jie Chen , Mihai Anitescu

We study the asymptotic behavior of the expectation of the maxima and minima of random assignment process generated by a large matrix with multinomial entries. A variety of results is obtained for different sparsity regimes.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Mikhail Lifshits , Gilles Mordant

We study the maximum $\phi_N^*$ of the partition function of the two dimensional (subcritical) Gaussian directed polymer over an $\sqrt N \times \sqrt N$ box. We show that $\phi_N^*/\log N$ converges towards a constant $\sigma^*$, which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima , Ofer Zeitouni

We prove a general inequality on $\beta$-mixing coefficients of point processes depending uniquely on their $n$-th order intensity functions. We apply this inequality in the case of determinantal point processes and show that the rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Arnaud Poinas

Disordered systems such as spin glasses have been used extensively as models for high-dimensional random landscapes and studied from the perspective of optimization algorithms. In a recent paper by L. Addario-Berry and the second author,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Fu-Hsuan Ho , Pascal Maillard
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