English

Allocating Variance to Maximize Expectation

Machine Learning 2025-02-26 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

We design efficient approximation algorithms for maximizing the expectation of the supremum of families of Gaussian random variables. In particular, let OPT:=maxσ1,,σnE[j=1mmaxiSjXi]\mathrm{OPT}:=\max_{\sigma_1,\cdots,\sigma_n}\mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{j=1}^{m}\max_{i\in S_j} X_i\right], where XiX_i are Gaussian, Sj[n]S_j\subset[n] and iσi2=1\sum_i\sigma_i^2=1, then our theoretical results include: - We characterize the optimal variance allocation -- it concentrates on a small subset of variables as Sj|S_j| increases, - A polynomial time approximation scheme (PTAS) for computing OPT\mathrm{OPT} when m=1m=1, and - An O(logn)O(\log n) approximation algorithm for computing OPT\mathrm{OPT} for general m>1m>1. Such expectation maximization problems occur in diverse applications, ranging from utility maximization in auctions markets to learning mixture models in quantitative genetics.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2502.18463,
  title  = {Allocating Variance to Maximize Expectation},
  author = {Renato Purita Paes Leme and Cliff Stein and Yifeng Teng and Pratik Worah},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.18463},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T21:57:41.938Z