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We consider a Markov-modulated Brownian motion $\{Y(t), \rho(t)\}$ with two boundaries at $0$ and $b > 0$, and allow for the controlling Markov chain $\{\rho(t)\}$ to instantaneously undergo a change of phase upon hitting either of the two…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Guy Latouche , Giang T. Nguyen

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. We provide a central limit theorem for general additive…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-02 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

We propose a model for epidemic spreading on a finite complex network with a restriction to at most one contamination per time step. Because of a highly discrete character of the process, the analysis cannot use the continous approximation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-23 Wojciech Ganczarek

This article extends the autoregressive count time series model class by allowing for a model with regimes, that is, some of the parameters in the model depend on the state of an unobserved Markov chain. We develop a quasi-maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-26 Geir D. Berentsen , Jan Bulla , Antonello Maruotti , Bård Støve

Suppose that $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ is a one-dimensional Brownian motion with negative drift $-\mu$. It is possible to make sense of conditioning this process to be in the state $0$ at an independent exponential random time and if we kill the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Steven N. Evans , Alexandru Hening

We propose a class of continuous-time Markov counting processes for analyzing correlated binary data and establish a correspondence between these models and sums of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. Our approach generalizes many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Daniel Zelterman

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We derive a necessary and sufficient condition for the sum of M independent continuous random variables modulo 1 to converge to the uniform distribution in L^1([0,1]), and discuss generalizations to discrete random variables. A consequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-15 Steven J. Miller , Mark J. Nigrini

A comparison theorem for state-dependent regime-switching diffusion processes is established, which enables us to control pathwisely the evolution of the state-dependent switching component simply by Markov chains. Moreover, a sharp…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Jinghai Shao

The paper presents a generalization of the local limit theorem on the convergence of inhomogeneous Markov chains to the diffusion limit for the case where the corresponding process coefficients satisfy weak regularity conditions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-02 I. Bitter , V. Konakov

As it is known in the finance risk and macroeconomics literature, risk-sharing in large portfolios may increase the probability of creation of default clusters and of systemic risk. We review recent developments on mathematical and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We present limit theorems for a sequence of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) taking values in a separable Hilbert space. This class of processes provides a rigorous framework for stochastic spatial models in which discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Martin G. Riedler , Michèle Thieullen , Gilles Wainrib

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

The replicator-mutator dynamic was originally derived to model the evolution of language, and since the model was derived in such a general manner, it has been applied to the dynamics of social behavior and decision making in multi-agent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Andrew Vlasic

Consider a Markov chain with finite state space and suppose you wish to change time replacing the integer step index $n$ with a random counting process $N(t)$. What happens to the mixing time of the Markov chain? We present a partial reply…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Nicos Georgiou , Enrico Scalas

Whereas classical Markov decision processes maximize the expected reward, we consider minimizing the risk. We propose to evaluate the risk associated to a given policy over a long-enough time horizon with the help of a central limit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Pengqian Yu , Jia Yuan Yu , Huan Xu

This paper establishes limit theorems for a class of stochastic hybrid systems (continuous deterministic dynamic coupled with jump Markov processes) in the fluid limit (small jumps at high frequency), thus extending known results for jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-15 K. Pakdaman , M. Thieullen , G. Wainrib

We investigate the influence of a stochastically fluctuating step-barrier potential on bimolecular reaction rates by exact analytical theory and stochastic simulations. We demonstrate that the system exhibits a new resonant reaction…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Jakob J. Kolb , Stefano Angioletti-Uberti , Joachim Dzubiella

Convergence of stochastic processes with jumps to diffusion processes is investigated in the case when the limit process has discontinuous coefficients. An example is given in which the diffusion approximation of a queueing model yields a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 N. V. Krylov , R. Liptser

We study the inductive biases of diffusion models with a conditioning-variable, which have seen widespread application as both text-conditioned generative image models and observation-conditioned continuous control policies. We observe that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Daniel Pfrommer , Zehao Dou , Christopher Scarvelis , Max Simchowitz , Ali Jadbabaie