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A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 González , M. , Martín-Chávez , P. , del Puerto , I

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

We propose and study a simple stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, in which arrivals of market order, limit orders and order cancellations are described in terms of a Markovian queueing system. Through its analytical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Rama Cont , Adrien De Larrard

We propose a framework for studying optimal market making policies in a limit order book (LOB). The bid-ask spread of the LOB is modelled by a Markov chain with finite values, multiple of the tick size, and subordinated by the Poisson…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-29 Fabien Guilbaud , Huyen Pham

This paper studies the problem of ergodicity of transition probability matrices in Markovian models, such as hidden Markov models (HMMs), and how it makes very difficult the task of learning to represent long-term context for sequential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Y. Bengio , P. Frasconi

We investigate the limit behavior of supercritical multitype branching processes in random environments with linear fractional offspring distributions and show that there exists a phase transition in the behavior of local probabilites of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Wenming Hong , Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

This paper investigates the problem of distributed stochastic approximation in multi-agent systems. The algorithm under study consists of two steps: a local stochastic approximation step and a diffusion step which drives the network to a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Gemma Morral , Pascal Bianchi , Gersende Fort

We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

Density dependent families of Markov chains, such as the stochastic models of mass-action chemical kinetics, converge for large values of the indexing parameter $N$ to deterministic systems of differential equations (Kurtz, 1970). Moreover…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Enrico Bibbona , Roberta Sirovich

We analyze a tractable model of a limit order book on short time scales, where the dynamics are driven by stochastic fluctuations between supply and demand. We establish the existence of a limiting distribution for the highest bid, and for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Frank Kelly , Elena Yudovina

In this paper, we show the convergence rates of posterior distributions of the model dynamics in a MDP for both episodic and continuous tasks. The theoretical results hold for general state and action space and the parameter space of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Zhen Li , Eric Laber

This paper studies the bail-out optimal dividend problem with regime switching under the constraint that the cumulative dividend strategy is absolutely continuous. We confirm the optimality of the regime-modulated refraction-reflection…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-10 Kei Noba , José-Luis Pérez , Xiang Yu

The present paper is concerned with diffusion processes running on tubular domains with conditions on nonreaching the boundary, respectively, reflecting at the boundary, and corresponding processes in the limit where the thin tubular…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 Sergio Albeverio , Seiichiro Kusuoka

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-27 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We study the limiting behaviour of the empirical measure of a system of diffusions interacting through their ranks when the number of diffusions tends to infinity. We prove that the limiting dynamics is given by a McKean-Vlasov evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-30 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

The goal of the paper is to describe the large time behaviour of a Markov process associated with a symmetric diffusion in a high-contrast random environment and to characterize the limit semigroup and the limit process under the diffusive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Brahim Amaziane , Andrey Piatnitski , Elena Zhizhina

We investigate the convergence in distribution of sequential empirical processes of dependent data indexed by a class of functions F. Our technique is suitable for processes that satisfy a multiple mixing condition on a space of functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

We consider processes that coincide with a given diffusion process except on the boundaries of a finite collection of domains. The behavior on each of the boundaries is asymmetric: the process is much more likely to enter the interior of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

Information relaxation and duality in Markov decision processes have been studied recently by several researchers with the goal to derive dual bounds on the value function. In this paper we extend this dual formulation to controlled Markov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-23 Fan Ye , Enlu Zhou
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