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The problem of estimating the L\'evy density of a partially observed multidimensional affine process from low-frequency and mixed-frequency data is considered. The estimation methodology is based on the log-affine representation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Denis Belomestny

A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

This paper contains the latest installment of the authors' project on developing ensemble based data assimilation methodology for high dimensional fluid dynamics models. The algorithm presented here is a particle filter that combines model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Lagrangian data assimilation of complex nonlinear turbulent flows is an important but computationally challenging topic. In this article, an efficient data-driven statistically accurate reduced-order modeling algorithm is developed that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-02 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu , Georgy E Manucharyan

Recently, extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems through deep learning frameworks has gained a lot of attention in various fields. Moreover, a growing amount of research work tends to transfer deterministic dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-05 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

This work focuses on topics related to Hamiltonian stochastic differential equations with L\'{e}vy noise. We first show that the phase flow of the stochastic system preserves symplectic structure, and propose a stochastic version of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Pingyuan Wei , Ying Chao , Jinqiao Duan

This paper is devoted to the study of an averaging principle for fractional stochastic differential equations in Rnwith L\'evy motion, using an integral transform method. We obtain a time-averaged equation under suitable assumptions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Wenjing Xu , Jinqiao Duan , Wei Xu

The quasi-steady-state approximation (or stochastic averaging principle) is a useful tool in the study of multiscale stochastic systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of degrees of freedom in a model. The method is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Matthew J. Smith

With the increasing penetration of high-frequency sensors across a number of biological and physical systems, the abundance of the resulting observations offers opportunities for higher statistical accuracy of down-stream estimates, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Shushu Zhang , Vivak Patel

We analyze the performance of a data-assimilation algorithm based on a linear feedback control when used with observational data that contains measurement errors. Our model problem consists of dynamics governed by the two-dimension…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Hakima Bessaih , Eric Olson , E. S. Titi

Four-dimensional weak-constraint variational data assimilation estimates a state given partial noisy observations and dynamical model by minimizing a cost function that takes into account both discrepancy between the state and observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Nazanin Abedini , Svetlana Dubinkina

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

In the paper, we consider nonlinear filtering problems of multiscale systems in two cases-correlated sensor L\'evy noises and correlated L\'evy noises. First of all, we prove that the slow part of the origin system converges to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Huijie Qiao

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic processes driven by additive small L\'{e}vy noises. We do not impose any moment condition on the driving L\'{e}vy process. Under certain regularity conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Hongwei Long , Yasutaka Shimizu , Wei Sun

We establish the large deviation principle for the slow variables in slow-fast dynamical system driven by both Brownian noises and L\'evy noises. The fast variables evolve at much faster time scale than the slow variables, but they are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Shenglan Yuan , René Schilling , Jinqiao Duan

The article considers vector parameter estimators in statistical models generated by Levy processes. An improved one step estimator is presented that can be used for improving any other estimator. Combined numerical methods for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 D. O. Ivanenko , R. V. Pogorielov

Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pierre Boudier , Anthony Fillion , Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Sixin Zhang

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

Linear dynamical systems, driven by a non-white noise which has the Levy distribution, are analysed. Noise is modelled by a specific stochastic process which is defined by the Langevin equation with a linear force and the Levy distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-26 Tomasz Srokowski