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We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

Statistically self-similar measures on $[0,1]$ are limit of multiplicative cascades of random weights distributed on the $b$-adic subintervals of $[0,1]$. These weights are i.i.d, positive, and of expectation $1/b$. We extend these cascades…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-18 Julien Barral , Benoit Mandelbrot

We introduce a new distributional invariance principle, called `partial spreadability', which emerges from the representation theory of the Thompson monoid $F^+$ in noncommutative probability spaces. We show that a partially spreadable…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Claus Köstler , Arundhathi Krishnan , Stephen J. Wills

In this paper, we obtain almost sure invariance principles with rate of order $n^{1/p}\log^\beta n$, $2< p\le 4$, for sums associated to a sequence of reverse martingale differences. Then, we apply those results to obtain similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Christophe Cuny , Florence Merlevede

We show that the unique solution to a semilinear stochastic differential equation with almost periodic coefficients driven by a fractional Brownian motion is almost periodic in a sense related to random dynamical systems. This type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Nicolas Marie , Paul Raynaud de Fitte

We establish via a probabilistic approach the quenched invariance principle for a class of long range random walks in independent (but not necessarily identically distributed) balanced random environments, with the transition probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Xin Chen , Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

We explore the asymptotic convergence and nonasymptotic maximal inequalities of supermartingales and backward submartingales in the space of positive semidefinite matrices. These are natural matrix analogs of scalar nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Through a regularization procedure, few approximation schemes of the local time of a large class of one dimensional processes are given. We mainly consider the local time of continuous semimartingales and reversible diffusions, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-05 Blandine Berard Bergery , Pierre Vallois

We explicitly construct the supermartingale version of the Fr{\'e}chet-Hoeffding coupling in the setting with infinitely many marginal constraints. This extends the results of Henry-Labordere et al. obtained in the martingale setting. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Shuoqing Deng , Dominykas Norgilas

We prove a deviation inequality for noncommutative martingales by extending Oliveira's argument for random matrices. By integration we obtain a Burkholder type inequality with satisfactory constant. Using continuous time, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Marius Junge , Qiang Zeng

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

The quantum versions of de Finetti's theorem derived so far express the convergence of n-partite symmetric states, i.e., states that are invariant under permutations of their n parties, towards probabilistic mixtures of independent and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-03-15 Anthony Leverrier , Nicolas J. Cerf

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

Motivated by recent interests in predictive inference under distribution shift, we study the problem of approximating finite weighted exchangeable sequences by a mixture of finite sequences with independent terms. Various bounds are derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Wenpin Tang

Without probability theory, we define classes of supermartingales, martingales, and semimartingales in idealized financial markets with continuous price paths. This allows us to establish probability-free versions of a number of standard…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-28 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

Randomness in the sense of Martin-L\"of can be defined in terms of lower semicomputable supermartingales. We show that such a supermartingale cannot be replaced by a pair of supermartingales that bet only on the even bits (the first one)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-11-28 Andrej Muchnik

We consider a notion of uniform thinning for a finite sequence of random variables $(X_1,...,X_n)$ obtained by removing one random variable, uniformly at random. If a triangular array of random variables $(X_{n,k} : n \in \mathbb{N}_+, 1…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shannon Starr

It has been proved by Bovier & Hartung [Elect. J. Probab. 19 (2014)] that the maximum of a variable-speed branching Brownian motion (BBM) in the weak correlation regime converges to a randomly shifted Gumbel distribution. The random shift…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Constantin Glenz , Nicola Kistler , Marius A. Schmidt

Using the theory of Dirichlet forms we construct a large class of continuous semimartingales on an open domain $E \subset \mathbb{R}^d$, which are governed by rank-based, in addition to name-based, characteristics. Using the results of Baur…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-12 David Itkin , Martin Larsson

We show that if a Lagrangian is invariant under a transformation (with the invariance defined in the standard manner), then the equations of motion obtained from it maintain their form under the transformation. We also show that the…

Classical Physics · Physics 2017-05-25 G. F. Torres del Castillo , A. Moreno-Ruiz