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Towards a probability-free theory of continuous martingales

Mathematical Finance 2017-03-28 v1

Abstract

Without probability theory, we define classes of supermartingales, martingales, and semimartingales in idealized financial markets with continuous price paths. This allows us to establish probability-free versions of a number of standard results in martingale theory, including the Dubins-Schwarz theorem, the Girsanov theorem, and results concerning the It\^o integral. We also establish the existence of an equity premium and a CAPM relationship in this probability-free setting.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1703.08715,
  title  = {Towards a probability-free theory of continuous martingales},
  author = {Vladimir Vovk and Glenn Shafer},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1703.08715},
  year   = {2017}
}

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26 pages