Related papers: An Elementary Analysis of the Probability That a B…

We prove that if $f(n)$ is a Steinhaus or Rademacher random multiplicative function, there almost surely exist arbitrarily large values of $x$ for which $|\sum_{n \leq x} f(n)| \geq \sqrt{x} (\log\log x)^{1/4+o(1)}$. This is the first such…

The probabilities of causation are commonly used to solve decision-making problems. Tian and Pearl derived sharp bounds for the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative…

We derive an extended empirical likelihood for parameters defined by estimating equations which generalizes the original empirical likelihood for such parameters to the full parameter space. Under mild conditions, the extended empirical…

Let $\mathcal{P}$ be the set of primes and $\pi(x)$ the number of primes not exceeding $x$. Let also $P^+(n)$ be the largest prime factor of $n$ with convention $P^+(1)=1$ and $$ T_c(x)=\#\left\{p\le x:p\in \mathcal{P},P^+(p-1)\ge…

The threshold $p_c(H)$ for the event that the binomial random graph $G_{n,p}$ contains a copy of a graph $H$ is the unique $p$ for which $\mathbb{P}(H \subseteq G_{n,p}) = 1/2$, and the fractional expectation threshold $q_f(H)$ is roughly…

We compute the expectation of the number of linear spaces on a random complete intersection in $p$-adic projective space. Here "random" means that the coefficients of the polynomials defining the complete intersections are sampled uniformly…

We consider a number $\nu_n$ of components in a random graph $G(n,p)$ with $n$ vertices, where the probability of an edge is equal to $p$. By operating with special generating functions we shows the next asymptotic relation for factorial…

Given a set C in R^d, let p(C) be the probability that a random d-dimensional unimodular lattice, chosen according to Haar measure on SL(d,Z)\SL(d,R), is disjoint from C\{0}. For special convex sets C we prove bounds on p(C) which are sharp…

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…

In this paper we improve some existing results concerning the approximation of the distribution of extremes of a 1-dependent and stationary sequence of random variables. We enlarge the range of applicability and improve the approximation…

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Assume that $2n$ balls are thrown independently and uniformly at random into $n$ bins. We consider the unlikely event $E$ that every bin receives at least one ball, showing that $\Pr[E] = \Theta(b^n)$ where $b \approx 0.836$. Note that, due…

The (strong) Bruhat order for permutations provides a partial ordering defined as follows: two permutations are comparable if one can be obtained from the other by a sequence of adjacent transpositions that each increase the number of…

Denote by $\mathcal{H}_k (n,p)$ the random $k$-graph in which each $k$-subset of $\{1... n\}$ is present with probability $p$, independent of other choices. More or less answering a question of Balogh, Bohman and Mubayi, we show: there is a…

The main result presented in this article is that probability can fundamentally be characterized as a subset of conditional expectation induced by a plausible preorder on random quantities. This is justified by the fact that probability is…

Define a natural number $n$ as a \textit{square-full} integer if for every prime $p$ such that $p|n$, we have $p^2|n$. In this paper, we establish an upper bound on the variance of square-full integers in short intervals of an expected…

Given an imprecise probabilistic model over a continuous space, computing lower/upper expectations is often computationally hard to achieve, even in simple cases. Because expectations are essential in decision making and risk analysis,…

It is well known that there is no direct one-to-one relation between $p$-values and likelihood ratios or Bayes factors, since their relation crucially involves the sample size $n$. We investigate their (asymptotic) relation in a…

We consider Khintchine type inequalities on the $p$-th moments of vectors of $N$ pairwise independent Rademacher random variables. We establish that an analogue of Khintchine's inequality cannot hold in this setting with a constant that is…