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We calculate explicit formulae for the Shannon entropies of several families of tailored random graph ensembles for which no such formulae were as yet available, in leading orders in the system size. These include bipartite graph ensembles…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-04-24 Ekaterina Roberts , Ton Coolen

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-12 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal , Gregory Schehr

Gamma distributions, which contain the exponential as a special case, have a distinguished place in the representation of near-Poisson randomness for statistical processes; typically, they represent distributions of spacings between events…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-05-22 C. T. J. Dodson

We aim to analyze the behaviour of a finite-time stochastic system, whose model is not available, in the context of more rare and harmful outcomes. Standard estimators are not effective in making predictions about such outcomes due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 Evan Arsenault , Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

Probability distributions having power-law tails are observed in a broad range of social, economic, and biological systems. We describe here a potentially useful common framework. We derive distribution functions $\{p_k\}$ for situations in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-07 Jack Peterson , Purushottam D. Dixit , Ken A. Dill

We study non-stationary stochastic processes arising from sequential dynamical systems built on maps with a neutral fixed points and prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for such processes. We use an approach developed in \cite{FFV16},…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

We study extreme value statistics (EVS) for spatially extended models exhibiting mixed order phase transitions (MOT). These are phase transitions which exhibit features common to both first order (discontinuity of the order parameter) and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-18 Amir Bar , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr , David Mukamel

In weather forecasting, nonhomogeneous regression is used to statistically postprocess forecast ensembles in order to obtain calibrated predictive distributions. For wind speed forecasts, the regression model is given by a truncated normal…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sebastian Lerch , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

We develop and generalize the theory of extreme value for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. We apply our results to non-autonomous dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

Power law or generalized polynomial regressions with unknown real-valued exponents and coefficients, and weakly dependent errors, are considered for observations over time, space or space--time. Consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Peter M. Robinson

In this paper, we introduce the Gompertz power series class of distributions which is obtained by compounding Gompertz and power series distributions. This distribution contains several lifetime models such as Gompertz-geometric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-14 Ali Akbar Jafari , Saeid Tahmasebi

Advanced science and technology provide a wealth of big data from different sources for extreme value analysis. Classical extreme value theory was extended to obtain an accelerated max-stable distribution family for modelling competing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Kaihao Hu , Kai Wang , Corina Constantinescu , Zhengjun Zhang , Chengxiu Ling

Let $X_{1,n}\le\cdots\le X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics of $n$ independent random variables with a common distribution function $F$ having right heavy tail with tail index $\gamma$. Given known constants $d_{i,n}$, $1\le i\le n$, consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Lillian Achola Oluoch , László Viharos

We introduce a new dynamical indicator of stability based on the Extreme Value statistics showing that it provides an insight on the local stability properties of dynamical systems. The indicator perform faster than other based on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

This article aims to introduced a new distribution named as extended xgamma (EXg) distribution. This generalization is derived from xgamma distribution (Xg), a special finite mixture of exponential and gamma distributions [see, Sen et al.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Mahendra Saha , Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Arvind Pandey , Shivanshi Shukla , Sudhansu S Maiti

In this paper, we study second order expansions of distributions of maxima of bivariate Gaussian triangular arrays under power normalization. Numerical analysis are given to compare the asymptotic behaviors under power normalization with…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Zhichao Weng , Xin Liao

We extend a generic class of systems which have previously been shown to spontaneously develop scaling (power law) distributions of their elementary degrees of freedom. While the previous systems were linear and exploded exponentially for…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 S. Solomon , M. Levy

The classical Maximum-Entropy Principle (MEP) based on Shannon entropy is widely used to construct least-biased probability distributions from partial information. However, the Shore-Johnson axioms that single out the Shannon functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Giuseppe M. Ferro , Edwin T. Pos , Andrea Somazzi

Our contribution is to widen the scope of extreme value analysis applied to discrete-valued data. Extreme values of a random variable $X$ are commonly modeled using the generalized Pareto distribution, a method that often gives good results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Adrien Hitz , Richard Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Extreme value analysis (EVA) is a statistical method that studies the properties of extreme values of datasets, crucial for fields like engineering, meteorology, finance, insurance, and environmental science. EVA models extreme events using…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-10-15 Kumiko Hayashi , Nobumichi Takamatsu , Shunki Takaramoto
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