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Extreme events such as natural and economic disasters leave lasting impacts on society and motivate the analysis of extremes from data. While classical statistical tools based on Gaussian distributions focus on average behaviour and can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-01 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart , Benoit Taisne , Tan Chiou Ting , David Lallemant

Changes in extreme weather may produce some of the largest societal impacts of anthropogenic climate change. However, it is intrinsically difficult to estimate changes in extreme events from the short observational record. In this work we…

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Extreme value theory for chaotic dynamical systems is a rapidly expanding area of research. Given a system and a real function (observable) defined on its phase space, extreme value theory studies the limit probabilistic laws obeyed by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Mark P. Holland , Renato Vitolo , Pau Rabassa , Alef E. Sterk , Henk W. Broer

Behavior of condensed matter systems deviating from the standard equilibrium conditions is discussed. Statistical properties of coupled dynamic-stochastic systems are studied within a combination of the maximum information principle and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-24 E. V. Vakarin

We propose extreme value analogues of natural exponential families and exponential dispersion models, and introduce the slope function as an analogue of the variance function. The set of quadratic and power slope functions characterize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-31 Bent Jørgensen , Yuri Goegebeur , José Raúl Martínez

The problem of estimating return levels of river discharge, relevant in flood frequency analysis, is tackled by relying on the extreme value theory. The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is assumed to model annual maxima values…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini

Using a renormalization approach, we study the asymptotic limit distribution of the maximum value in a set of independent and identically distributed random variables raised to a power q(n) that varies monotonically with the sample size n.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-17 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

In this paper we consider suitable families of power series distributed random variables, and we study their asymptotic behavior in the fashion of large (and moderate) deviations. We also present two examples of fractional counting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti , Elena Villa

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

In this paper, we propose a new class of distributions by exponentiating the random variables associated with the probability density functions of composite distributions. We also derive some mathematical properties of this new class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

The classical approach to analyzing extreme value data is the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). When the GPD is used to explain a target variable with the large dimension of covariates, the shape and scale function of covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Takuma Yoshida

The two-parameter distribution known as exponential-Poisson (EP) distribution, which has decreasing failure rate, was introduced by Kus (2007). In this paper we generalize the EP distribution and show that the failure rate of the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-17 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Francisco Cribari-Neto

The Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Communications (URLLC) paradigm in sixth-generation (6G) systems heavily relies on precise channel modeling, especially when dealing with rare and extreme events within wireless communication channels. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-22 Parmida Valiahdi , Sinem Coleri

This paper unifies and extends results on a class of multivariate Extreme Value (EV) models studied by Hougaard, Crowder, and Tawn. In these models both unconditional and conditional distributions are EV, and all lower-dimensional marginals…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-30 Anne-Laure Fougères , John P. Nolan , Holger Rootzén

Shannon's entropy is one of the building blocks of information theory and an essential aspect of Machine Learning methods (e.g., Random Forests). Yet, it is only finitely defined for distributions with fast decaying tails on a countable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Jialin Zhang , Jingyi Shi

In this paper we investigate the Burr distributions family which contains twelve members. Second order expansions of quantiles of the Burr's distributions are provided on which may be based statistical methods, in particular in extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-24 Moumouni Diallo , Modou Ngom , Soumaila Dembele , Gane Samb Lo

We study the extreme value distribution of stochastic processes modeled by superstatistics. Classical extreme value theory asserts that (under mild asymptotic independence assumptions) only three possible limit distributions are possible,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Pau Rabassa , Christian Beck

The renormalization group transformation for extreme value statistics of independent, identically distributed variables, recently introduced to describe finite size effects, is presented here in terms of a partial differential equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-06 Eric Bertin , Géza Györgyi

We review briefly the concepts underlying complex systems and probability distributions. The later are often taken as the first quantitative characteristics of complex systems, allowing one to detect the possible occurrence of regularities…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-07-17 D. Sornette
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