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An information theory description of finite systems explicitly evolving in time is presented for classical as well as quantum mechanics. We impose a variational principle on the Shannon entropy at a given time while the constraints are set…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Philippe Chomaz , Francesca Gulminelli , Olivier Juillet

Predictions of the uncertainty associated with extreme events are a vital component of any prediction system for such events. Consequently, the prediction system ought to be probabilistic in nature, with the predictions taking the form of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-26 Petra Friederichs , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

We consider a sequence of random Hamiltonians $H_n(h,\sigma)=\sum^n_{i=1}h_i(\sigma_i-m)$, and study the asymptotic ($n\to \infty$) distribution of the energy levels $(H_n(h,\sigma))_{\sigma\in \{-1,1\}^n}$, where $h_1,h_2,\cdots$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Francesco Concetti , Simone Franchini

Variational autoencoders (VAE) often use Gaussian or category distribution to model the inference process. This puts a limit on variational learning because this simplified assumption does not match the true posterior distribution, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Ke Sun , Xiangliang Zhang

In the classical theorems of extreme value theory the limits of suitably rescaled maxima of sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables are studied. So far, only affine rescalings have been considered. We show,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Iván Calvo , Juan C. Cuchí , José G. Esteve , Fernando Falceto

Let $X_1$, $X_2$,... be a sequence of independent random variables with common distribution function $F$ in the domain of attraction of a Gumbel extreme value distribution and for each integer $n\geq 1$, let $X_{1,n} \leq ... X_{n,n}$…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Gane Samb Lo

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

In this paper, higher-order expansions for distributions and densities of powered extremes of standard normal random sequences are established under an optimal choice of normalized constants. Our findings refine the related results in Hall…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-05 Wei Zhou , Chengxiu Ling

We present a new class of estimators of Shannon entropy for severely undersampled discrete distributions. It is based on a generalization of an estimator proposed by T. Schuermann, which itself is a generalization of an estimator proposed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Peter Grassberger

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

Recently, Verma et al. (2025) introduced a novel generalized class of Kavya-Manoharan distributions, which have demonstrated significant utility in reliability analysis and the modeling of lifetime data. This paper proposes an extension of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Lazhar Benkhelifa

The distribution of matter in the universe is, to first order, lognormal. Improving this approximation requires characterization of the third moment (skewness) of the log density field. Thus, using Millennium Simulation phenomenology and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-02 Andrew Repp , István Szapudi

It has been shown that sufficiently well mixing dynamical systems with positive entropy have extreme value laws which in the limit converge to one of the three standard distributions known for i.i.d. processes, namely Gumbel, Fr\'echet and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Nicolai Haydn , Michal Kupsa

This paper introduces nonparametric econometric methods that characterize general power law distributions under basic stability conditions. These methods extend the literature on power laws in the social sciences in several directions.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-07 Ricardo T. Fernholz

We present a generic and powerful approach to study the statistics of extreme phenomena (meteorology, finance, biology...) that we apply to the statistical estimation of the tail of the distribution of earthquake sizes. The chief innovation…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-05-13 V. F. Pisarenko , A. Sornette , D. Sornette , M. V. Rodkin

According to many phenomenological and theoretical studies the distribution of family name frequencies in a population can be asymptotically described by a power law. We show that the Galton-Watson process corresponding to the dynamics of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-07-19 Andrea De Luca , Paolo Rossi

Superstatistics describes statistical systems that behave like superpositions of different inverse temperatures $\beta$, so that the probability distribution is $p(\epsilon_i) \propto \int_{0}^{\infty} f(\beta) e^{-\beta \epsilon_i}d\beta$,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-03 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner , Murray Gell-Mann

We consider some further generalizations of the novel random graph models as introduced by Bandyopadhyay and Sen \cite{BaSe2025} and find asymptotic for the degree of a fixed vertex and along with the asymptotic degree distribution. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Kunal Joshi

We propose a generalized entropy maximization procedure, which takes into account the generalized averaging procedures and information gain definitions underlying the generalized entropies. This novel generalized procedure is then applied…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 G. Baris Bagci , Ugur Tirnakli

Max stable laws are limit laws of linearly normalized partial maxima of indepen- dent, identically distributed (iid) random variables (rvs). These are analogous to stable laws which are limit laws of normalized partial sums of iid rvs. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Sreenivasan Ravi , Ali Saeb