Related papers: A note on power generalized extreme value distribu…
Extreme value distributions are routinely employed to assess risks connected to extreme events in a large number of applications. They typically are two- or three- parameter distributions: the inference can be unstable, which is…
These notes are based on lectures delivered by G. Schehr at the XVIth School on Fundamental Problems in Statistical Physics (FPSP), held in Oropa (Italy) from 30 June to 11 July 2025. After a brief introduction to extreme value statistics…
A distributional route to Gaussianity, associated with the concept of Conservative Mixing Transformations in ensembles of random vector-valued variables, is proposed. This route is completely different from the additive mechanism…
Gamma-Ray Bursts (GRBs) are known to be unpredictable in time and position. A few (observationally) exceptional events have been observed, as GRB221009A that stands out for its fluence and peak flux, being orders of magnitude higher than…
Let $\{X_{n}, n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables with common general error distribution $GED(v)$ with shape parameter $v>0$, and let $M_{n,r}$ denote the $r$th largest order statistics of $X_{1}, X_{2}, \cdots, X_{n}$.…
In this work, we define a family of probability densities involving the generalized trigonometric functions defined by Dr\'abek and Man\'asevich [1], which we name Generalized Trigonometric Densities. We show their relationship with the…
We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…
A baroclinic model for the atmospheric jet at middle-latitudes is used as a stochastic generator of time series of the total energy of the system. Statistical inference of extreme values is applied to yearly maxima sequences of the time…
We search for the signature of universal properties of extreme events, theoretically predicted for Axiom A flows, in a chaotic and high dimensional dynamical system by studying the convergence of GEV (Generalized Extreme Value) and GP…
We construct the generalized entropy optimized by a given arbitrary statistical distribution with a finite linear expectation value of a random quantity of interest. This offers, via the maximum entropy principle, a unified basis for a…
The Generalized Central Limit Theorem is a remarkable generalization of the Central Limit Theorem, showing that the sum of a large number of independent, identically-distributed (i.i.d) random variables with infinite variance may converge…
Extreme value (EV) statistics of correlated systems are widely investigated in many fields, spanning the spectrum from weather forecasting to earthquake prediction. Does the unavoidable discrete sampling of a continuous correlated…
There is substantial empirical and climatological evidence that precipitation extremes have become more extreme during the twentieth century, and that this trend is likely to continue as global warming becomes more intense. However,…
While averages and typical fluctuations often play a major role to understand the behavior of a non-equilibrium system, this nonetheless is not always true. Rare events and large fluctuations are also pivotal when a thorough analysis of the…
The beta normal distribution is a generalization of both the normal distribution and the normal order statistics. Some of its mathematical properties and a few applications have been studied in the literature. We provide a better foundation…
In this paper, we attempt to derive the expression of ensemble average internal energy in long-range interaction complex system. Further, the Shannon entropy hypothesis is used to derive the probability distribution function of energy. It…
The vanilla method in univariate extreme-value theory consists of fitting the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value (GEV) distribution to a sample of block maxima. Despite claims to the contrary, the asymptotic normality of the maximum…
Under certain conditions on k we calculate the limit distribution of the k:th largest eigenvalue, x_k, of the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE). More specifically, if n is the dimension of a random matrix from the GUE and k is such that both…
Zipf's law, and power laws in general, have attracted and continue to attract considerable attention in a wide variety of disciplines - from astronomy to demographics to software structure to economics to linguistics to zoology, and even…
The Generalized Pareto (GP) and Generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions play an important role in extreme value analyses, as models for threshold excesses and block maxima respectively. For each of these distributions we consider…